The backtest draft board
2025 · 120 picks · every reason as the model gave it
This is the full board from the 2025 backtest — the rehearsal run, not the real thing. Each pick shows what the model chose and the one-sentence reason it gave at the time, unedited.
Picks
120
8 teams × 15 rounds, snake order
Fallbacks applied
0
Picks where the model returned something illegal and deterministic code chose instead.
Pool narrowed
9
From round 13, a team missing a required position has its board restricted — and is told so.
Claims flagged
42
Picks with at least one stated reason our checker could not tie to the data or the rulebook.
This draft ran before the dossier existed, so the models had raw projections and no view of replacement level. Four of the first five picks were quarterbacks.
Round 1
Picks 1–8
Lamar Jackson#1 · QB · Qwen3.7 Plus · conf 0.95full record
Lamar Jackson projects for the highest season points in the available pool, maximizing my weekly scoring potential regardless of positional norms.
Josh Allen#2 · QB · Grok 4.5 · conf 0.85full record
Take the highest-projected player available in Josh Allen to maximize season-long scoring at the scarce QB slot.
Jayden Daniels#3 · QB · DeepSeek V4 Pro · conf 0.70full record
Jayden Daniels has the highest projected season points among all available players, making him the best immediate value at the third overall pick.
⚑ At this stage, simply maximizing projected points aligns with the objective of winning weekly matchups — cites no DATA field, value, or name
Ja'Marr Chase#4 · WR · Claude Opus 5 · conf 0.78full record
Ja'Marr Chase is the consensus best asset on the board and the best fit for full-PPR scoring, so he goes at 4 overall.
⚑ RULEBOOK scoring: Reception = 1.0 (FULL PPR) plus 0.1/receiving yard, which maximizes the value of a high-volume target-hog WR; Chase's proj_season_points=328.3 is the top non-QB projection available. — value(s) not in DATA: 0.1
⚑ Hurts' 351.5 edge over Chase's 328.3 is only 23.2 projected season points (~1.7/week), and the QB slot is 1 of 9 starters while WR+FLEX means I start 2-3 receivers (roster_needs: WR 0/2, FLEX 0/1). — value(s) not in DATA: 23.2, 1.7
Jalen Hurts#5 · QB · Muse Spark 1.1 · conf 0.72full record
Taking highest projected scorer Jalen Hurts at 5 to lock elite QB production.
⚑ Bijan Robinson proj_season_points 308.1 is 43.4 points lower than Hurts — value(s) not in DATA: 43.4
Bijan Robinson#6 · RB · Kimi K3 · conf 0.80full record
Bijan Robinson is the best blend of projection, ADP value, and positional need on the board at 6.
⚑ available: Bijan Robinson adp 4 — taking him at pick_overall 6 is at or better than market value, while Joe Burrow (adp 46) at 6 would be a 40-spot reach — value(s) not in DATA: 40
⚑ QB replacement value is cheap: Patrick Mahomes proj_season_points 327.02 at adp 72 is only 4.22 points below Burrow's 331.24, so the QB edge over what I can get later is minimal — value(s) not in DATA: 4.22
Jahmyr Gibbs#7 · RB · GPT-5.6 Sol · conf 0.86full record
Select Jahmyr Gibbs as the highest-projected available player and an immediate RB starter.
Saquon Barkley#8 · RB · Gemini 3.1 Pro · conf 0.90full record
Saquon Barkley provides elite RB production and value at the 1.08 draft slot.
Round 2
Picks 9–16
CeeDee Lamb#9 · WR · Gemini 3.1 Pro · conf 0.90full record
CeeDee Lamb provides the highest projected scoring output among available skill position players.
Justin Jefferson#10 · WR · GPT-5.6 Sol · conf 0.88full record
Select Justin Jefferson to fill a starting WR slot with the strongest available non-QB season projection.
⚑ Jefferson leads the next available WR, Malik Nabers at 279.3 projected points, by 18.0 points. — value(s) not in DATA: 18
⚑ Joe Burrow projects for 331.24 points, but Patrick Mahomes is close at 327.02, a difference of only 4.22 points at the one-starting-QB position. — value(s) not in DATA: 4.22
Joe Burrow#11 · QB · Kimi K3 · conf 0.72full record
Team F takes Joe Burrow at 11, locking in the highest-projected player in the pool before the QB-needy teams behind me can.
⚑ available: Joe Burrow proj_season_points 331.24 — the highest projection in the pool, 49.44 points above the best non-QB (Ashton Jeanty 281.8) — value(s) not in DATA: 49.44
⚑ your_remaining_picks: my next pick is 22, and roster_counts_by_team shows Team D has no QB and picks at 13 and 20, while Teams G and H also have no QB and pick at 23-26 before my pick 27 — only 2 QBs (Burrow, Mahomes) exist in the available pool, so waiting risks losing both — value(s) not in DATA: 13, 20, 23, -26
Ashton Jeanty#12 · RB · Muse Spark 1.1 · conf 0.72full record
Best non-QB projection available fills starting RB need.
Christian McCaffrey#13 · RB · Claude Opus 5 · conf 0.72full record
Christian McCaffrey at pick 13 is a four-round value fall (ADP 3) and fills my biggest hole with a full-PPR RB projected for 274 points.
⚑ SCORING is FULL PPR (Reception 1.0), which maximizes value for a pass-catching back; McCaffrey's 274 projection is within 5.3 points of the top available player (Malik Nabers 279.3) while filling a scarcer slot — value(s) not in DATA: 5.3
Malik Nabers#14 · WR · DeepSeek V4 Pro · conf 0.80full record
Team C selects WR Malik Nabers, the highest-projected non-QB remaining, filling a critical starting position.
De'Von Achane#15 · RB · Grok 4.5 · conf 0.85full record
Taking De'Von Achane at 15 for elite RB value with QB already locked.
Puka Nacua#16 · WR · Qwen3.7 Plus · conf 0.95full record
Puka Nacua offers the highest projected points among available non-QBs to address my WR need.
Round 3
Picks 17–24
Derrick Henry#17 · RB · Qwen3.7 Plus · conf 0.90full record
Drafting Derrick Henry addresses my critical need for running backs with the highest projected scorer at the position.
Nico Collins#18 · WR · Grok 4.5 · conf 0.72full record
Take Nico Collins, the highest-projected available player, to fill a starting WR hole after securing QB and RB1.
Brock Bowers#19 · TE · DeepSeek V4 Pro · conf 0.80full record
Team C drafts Brock Bowers to secure an elite TE advantage.
Trey McBride#20 · TE · Claude Opus 5 · conf 0.68full record
Trey McBride at 20 locks the last elite tight end and the biggest positional edge left on the board.
⚑ McBride proj_season_points 247.4 vs the next-best available TE George Kittle at 208 — a 39.4-point gap at a position where only Brock Bowers (pick 19, Team C) is off the board — value(s) not in DATA: 39.4
⚑ roster_counts_by_team shows every team except Team C has TE 0, and eight picks separate me from my next selection at 29 (your_remaining_picks starts at 29), so an adp-17 tight end will not survive — value(s) not in DATA: -17
⚑ QB is not urgent value: Mahomes 327.02 is only 13.2 points above Kyler Murray 313.86, and five QBs are already drafted (Lamar 1, Allen 2, Daniels 3, Hurts 5, Burrow 11), leaving only Teams G and H as QB-needy bidders — value(s) not in DATA: 13.2
Drake London#21 · WR · Muse Spark 1.1 · conf 0.78full record
Best available WR Drake London fills 0/2 WR need with highest proj on board.
Amon-Ra St. Brown#22 · WR · Kimi K3 · conf 0.65full record
With QB locked (Joe Burrow) and zero WRs on the roster, I take the highest-projected available non-QB, Amon-Ra St. Brown, to fill my 0/2 WR hole.
Brian Thomas#23 · WR · GPT-5.6 Sol · conf 0.82full record
Select Brian Thomas as the highest-projected available non-quarterback and fill the second starting WR slot.
Jonathan Taylor#24 · RB · Gemini 3.1 Pro · conf 0.90full record
Jonathan Taylor offers immense value at pick 24, falling well past his ADP of 12.
Round 4
Picks 25–32
Tyreek Hill#25 · WR · Gemini 3.1 Pro · conf 0.85full record
Drafting Tyreek Hill fills the required WR2 slot with an elite producer whose ADP aligns perfectly with this pick.
Josh Jacobs#26 · RB · GPT-5.6 Sol · conf 0.82full record
Select Josh Jacobs to fill the second starting RB slot with the best season projection among available RBs.
⚑ DATA provides no recent-form, matchup, or injury-status fields, so the decision rests on season projection and roster construction. — cites no DATA field, value, or name
Chase Brown#27 · RB · Kimi K3 · conf 0.68full record
Chase Brown is the best value on the board and locks in my RB2 with a top-10 ADP player at pick 27.
A.J. Brown#28 · WR · Muse Spark 1.1 · conf 0.68full record
A.J. Brown is the highest projected non-QB available and fills starting WR need.
Bucky Irving#29 · RB · Claude Opus 5 · conf 0.78full record
Bucky Irving at 29 is the best value on the board — an ADP 8 running back with the highest projection of any non-QB available, and he fills my open RB2 next to McCaffrey.
Kyren Williams#30 · RB · DeepSeek V4 Pro · conf 0.85full record
Kyren Williams is the clear choice as the highest-ADP available player and a three-down RB1 who fills our most glaring need with no other RB on the roster.
⚑ Upcoming picks: Team E (pick 32) has only 1 RB and could snatch Williams; passing him risks losing the last elite RB before our next pick at 35. — value(s) not in DATA: 32
⚑ Full PPR scoring: Williams is a heavy-volume pass-catcher (70 receptions in 2024 season, worth 70 PPR points), boosting his floor and ceiling. — value(s) not in DATA: 70, 2024, 70
Ladd McConkey#31 · WR · Grok 4.5 · conf 0.75full record
Take the highest-projected available skill player Ladd McConkey to fill WR need.
Garrett Wilson#32 · WR · Qwen3.7 Plus · conf 0.85full record
Garrett Wilson provides the highest projected point total among available players at positions I still need to draft.
Round 5
Picks 33–40
Omarion Hampton#33 · RB · Qwen3.7 Plus · conf 0.95full record
Drafting Omarion Hampton to fill my RB need with the highest projected points among available running backs.
Alvin Kamara#34 · RB · Grok 4.5 · conf 0.85full record
Take Alvin Kamara to fill the critical second RB slot with elite projected production and massive ADP value.
DK Metcalf#35 · WR · DeepSeek V4 Pro · conf 0.80full record
Team C grabs DK Metcalf at 35 to lock in a high-floor WR2 behind Nabers in full PPR.
Patrick Mahomes#36 · QB · Claude Opus 5 · conf 0.76full record
Take Patrick Mahomes at 36 — the highest projected player left by nearly 100 points and the last elite QB before Teams G and H, who both still need one, pick eight times before my next selection.
⚑ Mahomes proj_season_points 327.02 is the top mark in `available`, 92.2 points clear of the best WR left (Marvin Harrison 234.8 / Terry McLaurin 234.7) for a slot I must fill (roster_needs QB 0/1). — value(s) not in DATA: 92.2
⚑ draft_board shows 5 QBs already gone (Lamar Jackson pick 1, Josh Allen 2, Jayden Daniels 3, Jalen Hurts 5, Joe Burrow 11), and roster_counts_by_team lists only Team G {RB:2,WR:2} and Team H {RB:2,WR:2} with no QB besides me — the exact two teams holding picks 39, 40, 41, 42 before my_remaining_picks resumes at 45. — value(s) not in DATA: 40, 41, 42
⚑ Only two QBs remain in `available` (Mahomes 327.02, Kyler Murray 313.86); if both go in picks 37-44 there is no comparable option, whereas WR depth persists with two ~235-point WRs plus Kittle (208) and LaPorta (182.4). — value(s) not in DATA: 37, -44, 235
⚑ Rulebook scoring rewards volume QBs (Passing TD 4, passing yards 0.04, rushing TD 6) and I still have 10 picks (45-116) to fill WR2, FLEX, K (Aubrey 183.65 / Bates 159.28) and DEF (DEN 150 / PHI 149.94), positions still stocked in the pool. — value(s) not in DATA: 0.04, -116
George Kittle#37 · TE · Muse Spark 1.1 · conf 0.62full record
Secure elite TE George Kittle now; RBs should survive to 44.
⚑ available proj_season_points: Kittle 208 vs LaPorta 182.4 (25.6 gap) vs Conner 223.5 vs Cook 220.2 (3.3 gap) — value(s) not in DATA: 25.6, 3.3
Sam LaPorta#38 · TE · Kimi K3 · conf 0.70full record
Taking Sam LaPorta now because TE scarcity is real — Teams G and H hold picks 39-42 with zero QBs and zero TEs — while an equally-projected WR will still be there at 43.
⚑ roster_counts_by_team: Team G {"RB":2,"WR":2} and Team H {"RB":2,"WR":2} have no QB and no TE, and draft_board shows they own picks 39, 40, 41, 42 — four picks that can cleanly absorb both available QBs (Murray 313.86, Purdy 311.72) and both TEs before my next pick at 43. — value(s) not in DATA: 40, 41, 42
⚑ LaPorta (182.4) + a 234.7 WR at 43 beats McLaurin (234.7) + an unknown replacement-level TE later, and also beats the best-case McLaurin + Hockenson (176) outcome at 410.7 combined. — value(s) not in DATA: 410.7
Terry McLaurin#39 · WR · GPT-5.6 Sol · conf 0.84full record
Select Terry McLaurin as the strongest value at pick 39 while preserving later opportunities to fill quarterback and tight end.
Tee Higgins#40 · WR · Gemini 3.1 Pro · conf 0.85full record
Tee Higgins provides elite FLEX value, perfectly matching the current draft slot.
Round 6
Picks 41–48
James Conner#41 · RB · Gemini 3.1 Pro · conf 0.85full record
James Conner provides excellent value and depth as the highest-ranked player available by ADP.
James Cook#42 · RB · GPT-5.6 Sol · conf 0.76full record
Select James Cook as the strongest combination of immediate draft value, projected production, and RB depth.
Davante Adams#43 · WR · Kimi K3 · conf 0.75full record
Davante Adams fills my only open skill-slot starter (WR2) with the best projection-to-ADP value left on the board.
⚑ Adams proj_season_points 234 is effectively tied with Marvin Harrison's 234.8 (a 0.8-point gap), but Adams' adp 57 vs Harrison's adp 83 shows a 26-spot market consensus edge at equal projection — value(s) not in DATA: 0.8
⚑ roster_counts_by_team shows Team D at WR 1 — a direct competitor for this exact WR pool picking at 45 and 52 before my next pick at 54, so passing on WR now risks losing both viable WR2 options — value(s) not in DATA: 45, 52
Chuba Hubbard#44 · RB · Muse Spark 1.1 · conf 0.62full record
Secure RB2 with highest-projected RB available to fill starting lineup.
⚑ roster_counts_by_team shows Team C has only 1 RB and picks at 46 and 51 before our next pick at 53, creating RB scarcity risk — value(s) not in DATA: 46, 51
Tetairoa McMillan#45 · WR · Claude Opus 5 · conf 0.74full record
Take Tetairoa McMillan at 45 to fill WR2 with the highest-demand receiver on the board, betting Marvin Harrison's ADP 83 lets him survive to my pick at 52.
⚑ roster_counts_by_team shows Team G (WR 3) and Team H (WR 3) hoarding receivers and Team A/Team B at WR 2 with picks in front of me at 46-51, so WR demand ahead of my next pick is real — value(s) not in DATA: 46, -51
Kyler Murray#46 · QB · DeepSeek V4 Pro · conf 0.85full record
Kyler Murray is the highest-projected remaining QB and fills a critical need for a high-variance ceiling play at a scarce position.
⚑ Murray's ADP of 92 indicates he is a value at pick 46, and his rushing ability (implied by QB scoring rules: 0.1 per rushing yard, 6 per rushing TD) raises his weekly ceiling, which aligns with the OBJECTIVE of winning head-to-head matchups as an underdog or favorite. — value(s) not in DATA: 0.1
Marvin Harrison#47 · WR · Grok 4.5 · conf 0.72full record
Take Marvin Harrison as highest-projected available skill player to lock in elite FLEX/WR3 production.
Travis Kelce#48 · TE · Qwen3.7 Plus · conf 0.80full record
Selecting Travis Kelce to immediately fill the 0/1 TE roster need with a top-tier projected scorer.
⚑ Securing a high-volume TE early stabilizes the lineup for weekly head-to-head matchups. — cites no DATA field, value, or name
Round 7
Picks 49–56
Mike Evans#49 · WR · Qwen3.7 Plus · conf 0.95full record
Mike Evans provides the highest projected point total among available skill players to secure my FLEX spot.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba#50 · WR · Grok 4.5 · conf 0.82full record
Take fallen WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba at elite projected value to lock FLEX and WR depth.
Breece Hall#51 · RB · DeepSeek V4 Pro · conf 0.80full record
Draft Breece Hall to fill the RB2 slot with the highest-projected available running back.
Courtland Sutton#52 · WR · Claude Opus 5 · conf 0.68full record
Courtland Sutton fills my open FLEX with the highest-valued skill player left on the board (ADP 50, proj 219.8) and gives WR depth behind Chase and McMillan.
⚑ Sutton (available: adp 50, proj_season_points 219.8) is the best ADP among all non-QB options; only Tony Pollard (adp 49, proj 212.0) is comparable and he projects 7.8 points lower — value(s) not in DATA: 7.8
⚑ Full PPR scoring (Reception 1.0) favors a high-volume WR in the FLEX slot; Sutton's 219.8 projection is within 2.2 points of the pool leader at WR, Jameson Williams (222.0), while carrying a 31-spot better ADP (50 vs 81) — value(s) not in DATA: 2.2
⚑ Kicker and DEF can wait: roster_needs K 0/1 and DEF 0/1 remain, but I hold 8 more picks (61, 68, 77, 84, 93, 100, 109, 116) and the gap from Brandon Aubrey (183.65) to Jake Bates (159.28) and DEN (150.0) to PHI (149.94) is small relative to a 220-point starting WR — value(s) not in DATA: 220
Jameson Williams#53 · WR · Muse Spark 1.1 · conf 0.62full record
Best projected non-QB available for FLEX at 222 pts.
DJ Moore#54 · WR · Kimi K3 · conf 0.65full record
DJ Moore fills my empty FLEX slot with the highest-projected starter-eligible player on the board.
⚑ roster_counts_by_team shows Team G and Team H (picks 55-58) each have 0 QB and 0 TE (RB 3, WR 3), so they must chase Purdy/Mayfield/Hockenson/Engram, likely leaving Moore/Pickens/Pollard untouched before my next pick at 59. — value(s) not in DATA: 55, -58
⚑ K and DEF can wait: your_remaining_picks include 102, 107, 118 (rounds 13-15), and RULEBOOK pool narrowing from round 13 would force K/DEF only if still unfilled, so spending pick 54 on Brandon Aubrey (183.65) or Denver DEF (150) sacrifices ~36-70 projected points versus Moore. — value(s) not in DATA: -15, -70
T.J. Hockenson#55 · TE · GPT-5.6 Sol · conf 0.82full record
Select T.J. Hockenson to fill the open starting tight-end slot while preserving a nearly equivalent quarterback option.
⚑ DATA gives Brock Purdy 311.72 projected season points and Baker Mayfield 311.5, leaving only a 0.22-point gap between the top two available quarterbacks. — value(s) not in DATA: 0.22
⚑ DATA roster_counts_by_team shows Team H, which makes picks 56 and 57 before Team G picks again at 58, currently has no QB or TE. — value(s) not in DATA: 56, 57
Jerry Jeudy#56 · WR · Gemini 3.1 Pro · conf 0.85full record
Drafting Jerry Jeudy provides immense value as he falls significantly past his ADP.
Round 8
Picks 57–64
Baker Mayfield#57 · QB · Gemini 3.1 Pro · conf 0.80full record
Securing a starting quarterback before the position is depleted, as the next team on the clock also needs one.
⚑ Team G picks next at 58 and currently has 0 QBs, making a run on the position likely. — value(s) not in DATA: 58
George Pickens#58 · WR · GPT-5.6 Sol · conf 0.78full record
Draft George Pickens as the highest-projected available non-quarterback while waiting to fill quarterback.
Tony Pollard#59 · RB · Kimi K3 · conf 0.72full record
Team F takes Tony Pollard, the best ADP value on the board, to lock in RB depth and a strong FLEX option.
⚑ Tony Pollard (available: player_id 5967) has proj_season_points 212 with adp 49 — falling 10 spots past his ADP to pick_overall 59, the best value-versus-ADP of any non-QB remaining. — value(s) not in DATA: 5967
⚑ Calvin Ridley's proj_season_points 213.4 beats Pollard's 212 by only 1.4 season points — a negligible gap that positional scarcity (RB over a fourth WR) breaks in Pollard's favor. — value(s) not in DATA: 1.4
TreVeyon Henderson#60 · RB · Muse Spark 1.1 · conf 0.62full record
Taking best-available RB TreVeyon Henderson to fill 2 RB needs with highest ADP value left.
Calvin Ridley#61 · WR · Claude Opus 5 · conf 0.68full record
With QB/RB/WR/TE/FLEX all filled, I take the highest-projected skill player left in Calvin Ridley (213.4) to upgrade my weekly WR/FLEX floor and ceiling.
⚑ Ridley is a boom-week WR profile, and the RULEBOOK notes higher-variance starters are what give a real chance in weeks I'm an underdog, while my locked core (Chase, McCaffrey, McBride, Mahomes) supplies the floor. — cites no DATA field, value, or name
DeVonta Smith#62 · WR · DeepSeek V4 Pro · conf 0.90full record
DeVonta Smith is the highest-projected WR available and fills a critical need for a third starting-caliber wide receiver.
Jaylen Waddle#63 · WR · Grok 4.5 · conf 0.78full record
Take Jaylen Waddle at clear ADP/projection value to lock in a high-upside FLEX while TE can wait one pick.
⚑ QB already filled by Josh Allen so Purdy/Nix (proj ~311) are unnecessary now — value(s) not in DATA: 311
Xavier Worthy#64 · WR · Qwen3.7 Plus · conf 0.85full record
Xavier Worthy provides the highest projected point total among available skill players to maximize my roster's weekly upside.
Round 9
Picks 65–72
Chris Olave#65 · WR · Qwen3.7 Plus · conf 0.90full record
Chris Olave provides the highest seasonal point projection among available skill players to fill the required FLEX slot.
Evan Engram#66 · TE · Grok 4.5 · conf 0.82full record
Secure the last high-upside TE to fill the empty starting TE slot before the position dries up.
Brandon Aubrey#67 · K · DeepSeek V4 Pro · conf 0.95full record
Brandon Aubrey is the top projected kicker available and fills a required starting position.
RJ Harvey#68 · RB · Claude Opus 5 · conf 0.68full record
RJ Harvey is the highest-projected player left and fills my thinnest real need — a third startable RB behind McCaffrey and Irving.
⚑ available: Isiah Pacheco proj 191.8 is the only other RB left, 10.2 points lower than Harvey over the season, and adp 77 vs Harvey adp 96 suggests Pacheco is likelier to survive to my pick at 77 — value(s) not in DATA: 10.2
Rashee Rice#69 · WR · Muse Spark 1.1 · conf 0.78full record
Best available non-QB projection at 69 is Rashee Rice to add WR4/FLEX.
Brock Purdy#70 · QB · Kimi K3 · conf 0.70full record
Team F grabs Brock Purdy, the highest-projected player left on the board, locking in a guaranteed answer for Joe Burrow's bye week and elite QB insurance.
⚑ available: Brock Purdy proj_season_points 311.72 is the top projection in the pool by 112 points over the best non-QB (Travis Hunter, 199). — value(s) not in DATA: 112
⚑ Scarcity: roster_counts_by_team shows Team G with QB count 0, and G picks at 71 and 74 before my next selection (your_remaining_picks starts at 75); G could plausibly take both Purdy and Bo Nix (310.48), clearing the only two 310+ QBs off the board. — value(s) not in DATA: 71, 310
Bo Nix#71 · QB · GPT-5.6 Sol · conf 0.93full record
Select Bo Nix as Team G’s starting quarterback and the highest-projected available player.
⚑ DATA available lists the next-best quarterback, Drake Maye, at proj_season_points: 301.5, which is 8.98 fewer than Nix. — value(s) not in DATA: 8.98
Mark Andrews#72 · TE · Gemini 3.1 Pro · conf 0.90full record
Mark Andrews fills the starting TE slot with the highest projected points available at the position.
Round 10
Picks 73–80
Isiah Pacheco#73 · RB · Gemini 3.1 Pro · conf 0.85full record
Isiah Pacheco adds premium depth to the running back room with the highest projection among available backs.
Matthew Golden#74 · WR · GPT-5.6 Sol · conf 0.72full record
Select Matthew Golden as the best combination of projected scoring and draft urgency.
⚑ DATA available lists Matthew Golden at 198.9 projected season points, only 0.1 behind the highest-projected available WR. — value(s) not in DATA: 0.1
Deebo Samuel#75 · WR · Kimi K3 · conf 0.72full record
Deebo Samuel is the best non-QB value on the board, falling from ADP 66 to pick 75 with the highest flex-eligible projection in the pool.
⚑ roster_needs: K 0/1 and DEF 0/1 remain open, but RULEBOOK states that from round 13 the pool narrows to positions I still need, and I hold picks 102, 107, and 118 in rounds 13-15 to fill K and DEF — value(s) not in DATA: -15
Travis Hunter#76 · WR · Muse Spark 1.1 · conf 0.62full record
Best available FLEX-eligible projection is Travis Hunter at 199 pts, higher than any RB/TE/K/DEF on the board, and QB would be pure bench behind Hurts.
Zay Flowers#77 · WR · Claude Opus 5 · conf 0.72full record
Take Zay Flowers, the highest-projected player left on the board, to upgrade a FLEX spot currently filled by Courtland Sutton and Calvin Ridley.
⚑ Full PPR (`Reception = 1.0` in RULEBOOK) rewards a high-volume target-earner, which fits a WR projected for ~194 points over other positions available — value(s) not in DATA: 194
D'Andre Swift#78 · RB · DeepSeek V4 Pro · conf 0.70full record
Team C adds RB depth with D'Andre Swift, a high-floor flex option with a 185.4 projected season points.
Emeka Egbuka#79 · WR · Grok 4.5 · conf 0.75full record
Taking Emeka Egbuka as the highest-projected FLEX option to lock in starter-level production.
David Montgomery#80 · RB · Qwen3.7 Plus · conf 0.85full record
David Montgomery provides the highest projected points among available running backs, addressing my need for RB depth behind Derrick Henry and Omarion Hampton.
Round 11
Picks 81–88
Jake Bates#81 · K · Qwen3.7 Plus · conf 0.80full record
Drafting Jake Bates secures a high-projecting kicker to fill a required starting slot before the round 13 pool narrowing rule forces my hand.
Kenneth Walker#82 · RB · Grok 4.5 · conf 0.78full record
Take Kenneth Walker for critical RB depth and strong season-long projection while K/DEF can wait.
Denver Broncos#83 · DEF · DeepSeek V4 Pro · conf 0.80full record
Team C fills its last starting spot with a top-tier defense.
⚑ Other teams also need DEF, so waiting risks losing both top options — cites no DATA field, value, or name
Aaron Jones#84 · RB · Claude Opus 5 · conf 0.62full record
With CMC and Bucky Irving my only real backfield, I take the best-value RB on the board in Aaron Jones (proj 178.2, ADP 60 at pick 84) and punt K/DEF to my three later picks where the drop-off is tiny.
⚑ DEF gap likewise small: Philadelphia 149.94 vs Green Bay 143.94 (6.0 points), and roster_needs shows DEF 0/1 and K 0/1 with four picks left, plus the rulebook's round-13 pool narrowing guarantees I can still fill both required slots — value(s) not in DATA: -13
Jakobi Meyers#85 · WR · Muse Spark 1.1 · conf 0.72full record
Best available non-QB by projection fills FLEX/WR depth.
Cameron Dicker#86 · K · Kimi K3 · conf 0.70full record
I take Cameron Dicker, the highest-projected kicker, to fill my empty K slot before the K/DEF run by Teams G and H leaves me with a weekly zero.
⚑ Scarcity: the available pool contains only 2 kickers, and roster_counts_by_team shows Team G and Team H each have no K and no DEF; they hold picks 87, 88, 89, 90 before my next pick at 91 (your_remaining_picks), so both kickers could be gone if I pass. — value(s) not in DATA: 87, 88, 89
Rome Odunze#87 · WR · GPT-5.6 Sol · conf 0.76full record
Select Rome Odunze as the highest-projected FLEX-eligible player available.
Ricky Pearsall#88 · WR · Gemini 3.1 Pro · conf 0.85full record
Ricky Pearsall offers the highest projected season points among available flex options to strengthen the bench.
Round 12
Picks 89–96
Jaylen Warren#89 · RB · Gemini 3.1 Pro · conf 0.90full record
Drafting Jaylen Warren provides immense value at pick 89, well past his ADP of 52.
Tyrone Tracy#90 · RB · GPT-5.6 Sol · conf 0.88full record
Select Tyrone Tracy as the best final skill-position addition before required-position drafting begins.
Philadelphia Eagles#91 · DEF · Kimi K3 · conf 0.80full record
I lock up the Philadelphia Eagles DEF now, because it is my only unfilled starting slot and the two available defenses will not survive the 10 picks before my next turn.
⚑ your_remaining_picks = [102, 107, 118] — ten picks (92-101) sit between this pick and my next one, with DEF-needy Teams E, D, B, and A all drafting in that window, so both DEFs are very likely gone by pick 102. — value(s) not in DATA: 92, -101
Kaleb Johnson#92 · RB · Muse Spark 1.1 · conf 0.62full record
Taking best RB available to balance roster before forced K/DEF picks in rounds 13-14.
Green Bay Packers#93 · DEF · Claude Opus 5 · conf 0.72full record
With five rosters still missing a DEF and only two elite units left on the board, I lock in the Green Bay Packers as the top-projected defense and take a kicker with pick 100.
⚑ roster_counts_by_team shows Team A (K:1, no DEF), Team B (no K, no DEF), Team E, Team G and Team H all lack a DEF; picks 94-99 belong to C, B, A, A, B, C, so both GB and MIN can plausibly be gone before my pick at 100 — value(s) not in DATA: 94, -99
⚑ Kicker replacement cost is trivial here — Carlson 154.87 vs McLaughlin 154.28 is a 0.59-point season gap — so spending pick 93 on the scarcer position maximizes total starter points — value(s) not in DATA: 0.59
Stefon Diggs#94 · WR · DeepSeek V4 Pro · conf 0.85full record
Select Stefon Diggs as the best available player to bolster wide receiver depth.
Jordan Addison#95 · WR · Grok 4.5 · conf 0.75full record
Taking Jordan Addison for high-upside WR depth and FLEX points with the best non-QB projection left.
Minnesota Vikings#96 · DEF · Qwen3.7 Plus · conf 0.95full record
Drafting the Minnesota Vikings defense to fill the final required starting position on the roster.
Round 13
Picks 97–104
Drake Maye#97 · QB · Qwen3.7 Plus · conf 0.95full record
Drake Maye provides the highest projected points of any available player, making him the best addition to my bench.
Daniel Carlson#98 · K · Grok 4.5 · conf 0.85full record
pool narrowedTake the highest-projected kicker available while the pool is locked to K/DEF needs.
Khalil Shakir#99 · WR · DeepSeek V4 Pro · conf 0.85full record
Khalil Shakir is the highest-projected non-QB available and adds valuable WR depth to a roster that already has all starting slots filled.
Chase McLaughlin#100 · K · Claude Opus 5 · conf 0.95full record
pool narrowedTake Chase McLaughlin, the highest-projected kicker available, to fill the last empty starting slot.
Will Reichard#101 · K · Muse Spark 1.1 · conf 0.62full record
pool narrowedNeed both K and DEF with 3 picks left, taking the highest projected points K now.
David Njoku#102 · TE · Kimi K3 · conf 0.70full record
Taking David Njoku at 102 to cover my only zero-depth starting slot — TE behind Sam LaPorta — with the top available tight end.
⚑ Njoku's proj_season_points of 159.5 is the best among available TEs (Tucker Kraft is 154.5) and within 11.3 points of the top non-QB available, Rashid Shaheed at 170.8 — under one point per week. — value(s) not in DATA: 11.3
⚑ roster_counts_by_team shows Team G and Team H each with 0 K and 0 DEF, so under the round-13 narrowing rule their picks at 103, 104, 105, 106 are restricted to K/DEF only — every position player, including J.K. Dobbins (162.5) and Shaheed, will still be available at my next pick, 107. — value(s) not in DATA: -13, 105, 106
Ka'imi Fairbairn#103 · K · GPT-5.6 Sol · conf 0.82full record
pool narrowedSelect Ka'imi Fairbairn as the highest-projected available player while filling a required starting position.
⚑ DATA available lists the next-best kicker, Tyler Loop, at 147.69 projected season points, 1.59 fewer than Fairbairn. — value(s) not in DATA: 1.59
Harrison Butker#104 · K · Gemini 3.1 Pro · conf 0.90full record
pool narrowedDrafting Harrison Butker to fill the required Kicker slot with the highest projected points available.
Round 14
Picks 105–112
Detroit Lions#105 · DEF · Gemini 3.1 Pro · conf 0.99full record
pool narrowedSelecting the highest-projected defense to fill the mandatory starting slot.
Pittsburgh Steelers#106 · DEF · GPT-5.6 Sol · conf 0.86full record
pool narrowedSelect the Pittsburgh Steelers as Team G's required starting defense.
⚑ DATA available projects Baltimore for 135.02 season points, 1.91 fewer than Pittsburgh. — value(s) not in DATA: 1.91
Rashid Shaheed#107 · WR · Kimi K3 · conf 0.62full record
With every starting slot already filled, I take the highest-projected flex-eligible player left, Rashid Shaheed, as pure bench value.
⚑ current_roster already contains two QBs (Joe Burrow 6770, Brock Purdy 8183); the RULEBOOK states bench players score nothing and trades are not available this season, so Trevor Lawrence's 290.7 proj_season_points has almost no usable value to me. — value(s) not in DATA: 6770, 8183
⚑ your_remaining_picks is [118], and 10 picks (108-117) sit between now and then, so I cannot count on Shaheed surviving; I take him now rather than at 118. — value(s) not in DATA: 108, -117
Baltimore Ravens#108 · DEF · Muse Spark 1.1 · conf 0.95full record
pool narrowedNeed DEF with pool narrowed to DEF only, taking higher projected Ravens.
Trevor Lawrence#109 · QB · Claude Opus 5 · conf 0.68full record
Take Trevor Lawrence as the only QB insurance behind Patrick Mahomes, and the highest-projected player left on the board.
J.K. Dobbins#110 · RB · DeepSeek V4 Pro · conf 0.85full record
J.K. Dobbins adds needed RB depth with the highest available projection at the position.
Los Angeles Chargers#111 · DEF · Grok 4.5 · conf 0.90full record
pool narrowedTake the Chargers DEF to fill the mandatory empty DEF slot with the higher season projection.
Caleb Williams#112 · QB · Qwen3.7 Plus · conf 0.95full record
Caleb Williams provides the highest projected season points of any available player, maximizing the overall point potential of my roster.
⚑ The objective is to WIN THE LEAGUE by scoring the most points, and taking the highest projected player aligns directly with this goal. — cites no DATA field, value, or name
Round 15
Picks 113–120
Justin Herbert#113 · QB · Qwen3.7 Plus · conf 0.90full record
Justin Herbert is the highest-projected player available to fill the final bench spot.
Dak Prescott#114 · QB · Grok 4.5 · conf 0.85full record
Taking Dak Prescott as QB insurance and highest-upside bench piece with the final pick.
Michael Pittman#115 · WR · DeepSeek V4 Pro · conf 0.80full record
Take Michael Pittman, the highest-projected non-QB/TE available, to add WR depth and flex insurance to Team C's bench.
⚑ Team C already has 2 QBs, a stud TE, K, and DEF set; adding a WR with top-50 potential maximizes bench utility for byes or injuries. — value(s) not in DATA: -50
Tucker Kraft#116 · TE · Claude Opus 5 · conf 0.76full record
Tucker Kraft is the highest-projected TE left and the only cheap way to cover the one starting slot my roster has zero depth at while also being FLEX-eligible.
C.J. Stroud#117 · QB · Muse Spark 1.1 · conf 0.62full record
Taking C.J. Stroud as QB2 - highest proj_season_points available and only 1 QB on roster.
Matthew Stafford#118 · QB · Kimi K3 · conf 0.70full record
With only a bench slot left to fill, I take the highest-projected player on the board, Matthew Stafford, as elite insurance behind Burrow and Purdy.
Jared Goff#119 · QB · GPT-5.6 Sol · conf 0.78full record
Select Jared Goff as the highest-projected available player and a backup to Bo Nix.
Jordan Love#120 · QB · Gemini 3.1 Pro · conf 0.85full record
Adding Jordan Love provides crucial depth and a high-upside option at quarterback to complete the roster.