The 2026 draft board
2026 · 120 picks · every reason as the model gave it
The real thing. Eight models, fifteen rounds, one shared briefing of 332 players. Each pick shows what the model chose and the one-sentence reason it gave, unedited — and every pick links to the full stored record, including the prompt it was answering.
Picks
120
8 teams × 15 rounds, snake order
Fallbacks applied
0
Picks where deterministic code chose instead of the model. This board is the first to reach zero, and it took three fixes on the day.
Pool narrowed
9
From round 13, a team missing a required position has its board restricted — and is told so.
Claims flagged
74
Picks with at least one stated reason our checker could not tie to the data or the rulebook.
Conditions changed once during this draft. Picks 1–51 ran with no cap on internal reasoning and picks 52–120 with one, after two picks were lost to models spending an entire output budget thinking and returning nothing. The boundary is checkable rather than asserted: no decision after pick 51 exceeds 14,000 reasoning tokens. What that cost, and why.
Round 1
Picks 1–8
Jahmyr Gibbs#1 · RB · DeepSeek V4 Pro 0813 · conf 0.80full record
Jahmyr Gibbs is the pick at 1 overall because he offers the largest projected advantage over replacement at the scarcest high-value position.
Bijan Robinson#2 · RB · Claude Opus 5 · conf 0.86full record
Bijan Robinson is the highest value-over-replacement asset on the board and the pick at 2 overall.
⚑ Bijan Robinson proj_season_points 324.9 against RB scarcity_curves replacement_points 202.6 (replacement_rank 19) = +122.3 VOR, the largest gap available. — value(s) not in DATA: 122.3
⚑ Nearest WR alternatives net less: Puka Nacua 312.5 - 224 = +88.5, Ja'Marr Chase 311.1 - 224 = +87.1. — value(s) not in DATA: 87.1
Ja'Marr Chase#3 · WR · Grok 4.6 · conf 0.72full record
Chase is the highest-projected healthy skill player left after Gibbs and Bijan came off the board.
⚑ Ja'Marr Chase proj_season_points is 311.1, 1.4 behind Puka Nacua (312.5) and 20.1 ahead of Christian McCaffrey (291) among available non-QBs. — value(s) not in DATA: 1.4, 20.1
⚑ WR scarcity_curves replacement_points is 224 (replacement_rank 19), so Chase is 87.1 over replacement, near the position spread_over_replacement of 88.5. — value(s) not in DATA: 87.1
Puka Nacua#4 · WR · Qwen3.8 Max · conf 0.67full record
Puka Nacua is the best pick at 4 because he is the top available non-QB by projection and value over replacement, and his ADP says he will not wait.
⚑ WR replacement_points is 224, so Puka's 312.5 is 88.5 points over replacement, nearly identical to Christian McCaffrey's 291 minus RB replacement_points 202.6 (88.4). — value(s) not in DATA: 88.4
Christian McCaffrey#5 · RB · GPT-5.6 Sol · conf 0.78full record
Christian McCaffrey is the pick because he offers the strongest combination of elite projection, proven scoring, and scarce RB value.
⚑ McCaffrey projects for 291.0 season points, the highest among available RBs and 88.4 points above the RB replacement level of 202.6. — value(s) not in DATA: 88.4
Brock Bowers#6 · TE · Muse Spark 1.2 · conf 0.64full record
Brock Bowers is the clear VOR leader at 1.06 with 89.9 points over TE replacement.
⚑ Next best VOR available is Jonathan Taylor proj_season_points 272.3 vs RB replacement_points 202.6 = 69.7 and Jaxon Smith-Njigba 284.6 vs WR replacement_points 224 = 60.6, both >20 points lower — value(s) not in DATA: 69.7, 60.6
Josh Allen#7 · QB · Kimi K3 · conf 0.70full record
Josh Allen is the highest-projected player in the pool (361.5) and locking him at 7 still leaves an elite RB/WR for my pick at 10.
⚑ proj_season_points 361.5 — the highest in available, 35.5 points clear of the next QB (Lamar Jackson, 326) and above every remaining RB/WR. — value(s) not in DATA: 35.5
⚑ scarcity_curves QB: replacement_rank 8 with replacement_points 303.42, so Allen's spread_over_replacement of 58.1 matches the value-over-replacement of the best available WR (Jaxon Smith-Njigba 284.6 vs WR replacement 224.0 = 60.6) while filling the one slot that scores every single week. — value(s) not in DATA: 60.6
Trey McBride#8 · TE · Gemini 3.1 Pro · conf 0.90full record
Trey McBride offers the highest Value Over Replacement Player (VORP) available on the board.
⚑ Trey McBride is projected for 234.9 points, which is 71.3 points above the TE replacement level of 163.6 (rank 11). — value(s) not in DATA: 71.3
⚑ This 71.3 VORP is the highest of any available player, edging out Jonathan Taylor's 69.7 VORP at RB. — value(s) not in DATA: 71.3, 69.7
Round 2
Picks 9–16
Jonathan Taylor#9 · RB · Gemini 3.1 Pro · conf 0.90full record
Drafting Jonathan Taylor to secure the highest available value over replacement at running back.
⚑ Jonathan Taylor is projected for 272.3 season points, which is 69.7 points above the RB replacement level of 202.6 (rank 19). — value(s) not in DATA: 69.7
⚑ This VORP of 69.7 is the highest of any available player on the board. — value(s) not in DATA: 69.7
⚑ The top available WR, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, has a higher raw projection (284.6) but a lower VORP (60.6) due to the higher WR replacement baseline (224). — value(s) not in DATA: 60.6
James Cook#10 · RB · Kimi K3 · conf 0.72full record
With Josh Allen secured, I take James Cook as my RB1 because running back is the steepest scarcity curve on the board and the entire starting-caliber RB band will be gone before my next pick at 23.
⚑ The RB cliff is immediate: after the seven-RB band of Cook through Omarion Hampton (242.9-260.8), rank 12 is Jeremiyah Love at just 211.8 with injury_status 'Questionable'. — value(s) not in DATA: -260.8
⚑ your_remaining_picks shows my next pick is 23 overall — 12 picks (11-22) pass before then, and roster_counts_by_team shows Teams C, D, and F have zero RBs while A, B, E, and H each need a second, so the RB band will not survive to pick 23. — value(s) not in DATA: -22
Jaxon Smith-Njigba#11 · WR · Muse Spark 1.2 · conf 0.68full record
Best value over replacement available is Jaxon Smith-Njigba at WR.
⚑ proj_season_points 284.6 for Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR3) vs WR replacement_points 224 at replacement_rank 19 = VOR 60.6, highest of any available player — value(s) not in DATA: 60.6
⚑ Next-best VORs are Amon-Ra St. Brown 280.5-224=56.5 and De'Von Achane 257.4-202.6=54.8, both lower than JSN — value(s) not in DATA: -224, 56.5, -202.6, 54.8
⚑ QB VOR is minimal (Lamar Jackson 326-303.42=22.58) due to QB replacement_points 303.42 and spread_over_replacement only 58.1, so QB at pick 11 is poor value — value(s) not in DATA: -303.42, 22.58
Amon-Ra St. Brown#12 · WR · GPT-5.6 Sol · conf 0.93full record
Select Amon-Ra St. Brown as the best combination of projection, positional advantage, and availability at pick 12.
⚑ His projected advantage over WR replacement is 56.5 points: 280.5 versus the WR replacement_points of 224. — value(s) not in DATA: 56.5
De'Von Achane#13 · RB · Qwen3.8 Max · conf 0.70full record
De'Von Achane is the best available player by value over replacement and fills my empty RB slot.
⚑ Achane's proj_season_points is 257.4 and positional_rank is 6; against RB replacement_points 202.6 from scarcity_curves, that is +54.8, the highest value over replacement among available players. — value(s) not in DATA: 54.8
⚑ roster_needs shows RB 0/2 and WR 1/2, so an RB addresses a larger remaining starter need than taking WR CeeDee Lamb, whose value over replacement is 270.5 minus 224 = +46.5. — value(s) not in DATA: 46.5
CeeDee Lamb#14 · WR · Grok 4.6 · conf 0.72full record
Lock CeeDee Lamb as WR2 next to Chase; the 243-255 RB cluster should still produce a starter at pick 19.
⚑ CeeDee Lamb proj_season_points is 270.5 with positional_rank 5, the highest remaining WR and 46.5 over WR replacement_points 224. — value(s) not in DATA: 46.5
⚑ Five RBs remain with proj_season_points 242.9-255.2 (Chase Brown 255.2 through Omarion Hampton 242.9) versus RB replacement_points 202.6, a deep enough cluster to hit at 19. — value(s) not in DATA: -255.2
⚑ current_roster is Ja'Marr Chase and roster_needs is WR 1/2, so Lamb completes a two-WR core under FULL PPR (reception 1.0) without forcing an early QB (Lamar Jackson VOR only 22.58 over replacement_points 303.42). — value(s) not in DATA: 22.58
Chase Brown#15 · RB · Claude Opus 5 · conf 0.72full record
With back-to-back picks at 15 and 18 and only Team A between them, I take the scarcest asset first: Chase Brown as RB2 alongside Bijan Robinson.
⚑ Chase Brown proj_season_points 255.2 against RB replacement_points 202.6 (replacement_rank 19) = +52.6 value over replacement, the highest of any available player; Nico Collins at 262 sits only +38.0 over the WR replacement_points of 224.0 — value(s) not in DATA: 52.6
Colston Loveland#16 · TE · DeepSeek V4 Pro 0813 · conf 0.85full record
Taking Colston Loveland secures the top remaining tight end, whose 51.8-point value over replacement is the highest among all available players.
⚑ proj_season_points 215.4 vs TE replacement_points 163.6 gives a 51.8-point VOR, the largest among available options. — value(s) not in DATA: 51.8
⚑ TE drop-off to next available (Tyler Warren proj 201.1) is 14.3 points, larger than the drop-off at RB (Henry 246.9 to Barkley 246.7 = 0.2) or WR (Collins 262 to Jefferson 250.4 = 11.6). — value(s) not in DATA: 14.3, 0.2, 11.6
Round 3
Picks 17–24
Derrick Henry#17 · RB · DeepSeek V4 Pro 0813 · conf 0.70full record
Derrick Henry is the pick because he offers the best available running back projection and the RB position falls off sharply after the top tier.
⚑ RB scarcity_curves lists replacement_points at 202.6, so Henry's projection is 44.3 points over replacement, more than the top available WR Nico Collins' 38.0 points over the WR replacement level of 224. — value(s) not in DATA: 44.3
Nico Collins#18 · WR · Claude Opus 5 · conf 0.78full record
Nico Collins is the highest projected player left on the board and fills my biggest hole at WR with the best value-over-replacement available.
⚑ WR scarcity_curves replacement_points 224 at replacement_rank 19, so Collins carries ~38 points of value over replacement — the largest on the board; QB1 Lamar Jackson (326) sits only 22.6 over the QB replacement_points of 303.42. — value(s) not in DATA: 22.6
⚑ adp 12 vs my pick_overall 18 — I am buying a top-12 ADP asset six picks late. — value(s) not in DATA: -12
Saquon Barkley#19 · RB · Grok 4.6 · conf 0.78full record
Saquon Barkley is the highest-projected remaining RB and fills the most urgent hole on a two-WR roster before the RB cliff.
⚑ Saquon Barkley proj_season_points 246.7 leads remaining RBs (Kenneth Walker 244, Omarion Hampton 242.9) and is 44.1 above RB replacement_points 202.6 at replacement_rank 19. — value(s) not in DATA: 44.1
Kenneth Walker#20 · RB · Qwen3.8 Max · conf 0.70full record
Kenneth Walker fills our remaining RB starter slot with the highest projected RB still available at the position with the steepest replacement drop.
⚑ Kenneth Walker's proj_season_points is 244 and positional_rank is 10, giving 41.4 points over RB replacement_points 202.6 in scarcity_curves. — value(s) not in DATA: 41.4
Omarion Hampton#21 · RB · GPT-5.6 Sol · conf 0.82full record
Select Omarion Hampton to secure the strongest remaining value at the scarcer RB position.
⚑ Hampton is RB positional_rank 11 with proj_season_points 242.9, which is 40.3 points above the RB replacement_points of 202.6. — value(s) not in DATA: 40.3
⚑ The next available RB, Jeremiyah Love, has proj_season_points 211.8 and injury_status "Questionable", creating a 31.1-point projection drop after Hampton. — value(s) not in DATA: 31.1
Justin Jefferson#22 · WR · Muse Spark 1.2 · conf 0.72full record
Taking Justin Jefferson as the highest value over replacement available.
⚑ Justin Jefferson proj_season_points 250.4 vs WR replacement_points 224 (replacement_rank 19) = +26.4 VOR, highest in available pool (scarcity_curves WR) — value(s) not in DATA: 26.4
⚑ Best RB available Jeremiyah Love proj_season_points 211.8 vs RB replacement_points 202.6 = +9.2 VOR, and Breece Hall 211.0 = +8.4, far below WR value despite RB spread_over_replacement 128.8 — value(s) not in DATA: 9.2, 8.4
⚑ Best QB Lamar Jackson proj_season_points 326 vs QB replacement_points 303.42 = +22.58 VOR with QB spread_over_replacement only 58.1, lower than Jefferson — value(s) not in DATA: 22.58
Drake London#23 · WR · Kimi K3 · conf 0.70full record
Team G takes Drake London, the highest-projected WR remaining (proj_season_points 250.2), to fill an empty WR1 slot before Team H's back-to-back picks at 24-25 strip the position.
⚑ London leads all available WRs in proj_season_points (250.2, positional_rank 8), which per scarcity_curves is +26.2 over the WR replacement_points of 224 (replacement_rank 19). — value(s) not in DATA: 26.2
⚑ The WR cliff is immediate: after London (250.2), A.J. Brown (247.2) and George Pickens (245.7), the next available WR is Chris Olave at 235.9 — and roster_counts_by_team shows Team H (0 WRs) picks twice (24, 25) before my next pick at 26. — value(s) not in DATA: 25
⚑ TE Tyler Warren (proj 201.1, +37.5 over the 163.6 TE replacement) is the best value-over-replacement on the board but can wait: draft_board shows Team H already owns TE Trey McBride (pick 8), so no team picking before 26 threatens him. — value(s) not in DATA: 37.5
A.J. Brown#24 · WR · Gemini 3.1 Pro · conf 0.90full record
A.J. Brown provides the highest value over replacement of any available player to fill a crucial WR slot.
⚑ The WR replacement level (rank 19) is 224 points, giving Brown a Value Over Replacement of 23.2 points. — value(s) not in DATA: 23.2
⚑ Lamar Jackson offers a similar VORP (22.58) with 326 proj_season_points against a 303.42 replacement level, but WR requires more starting slots (2 WR + 1 FLEX vs 1 QB). — value(s) not in DATA: 22.58
Round 4
Picks 25–32
Lamar Jackson#25 · QB · Gemini 3.1 Pro · conf 0.85full record
Drafting Lamar Jackson secures the highest projected player available and maximizes value over replacement.
⚑ Jackson provides a 22.58-point value over the QB replacement_points level of 303.42. — value(s) not in DATA: 22.58
⚑ With 15 picks until our next selection, the potential drop-off to the replacement level at QB (22.58 points) is slightly steeper than the drop-off from the top available WR, George Pickens (21.7 points over the 224 WR replacement level). — value(s) not in DATA: 22.58, 21.7
George Pickens#26 · WR · Kimi K3 · conf 0.72full record
George Pickens is the last WR clearly above replacement, and with Team A holding zero WRs and two picks before my next turn, he will not survive to pick 39.
⚑ Pickens proj_season_points 245.7 vs WR scarcity_curves replacement_points 224 (replacement_rank 19): +21.7 over replacement, the largest healthy value-over-replacement among available players at a position I still must start (roster_needs WR 1/2). — value(s) not in DATA: 21.7
⚑ Demand pressure: roster_counts_by_team shows Team A with 0 WRs and Teams B, D, E with only 1 each; Team A picks twice (32, 33) among the 12 picks before my next selection at 39, so the top WR tier will be gutted. — value(s) not in DATA: 33
⚑ RB can wait: 8 available RBs sit in a flat 202.6-211.8 band (Josh Jacobs 202.6 to Jeremiyah Love 211.8) right at RB replacement_points 202.6, so delaying RB to picks 39/42 costs almost nothing. — value(s) not in DATA: -211.8
⚑ Pickens injury_status null and depth_chart_order 1 with last_season_points 291.9; adp 19 versus pick 26 is a 7-spot value; bye_week 14 keeps him active for the week 15-16 playoffs. — value(s) not in DATA: -16
Drake Maye#27 · QB · Muse Spark 1.2 · conf 0.64full record
Take Drake Maye - highest VOR on the board (320.76) to lock QB1 while RB/WR drop is minimal.
⚑ Drake Maye proj_season_points 320.76 vs QB replacement_points 303.42 = +17.34 VOR, highest among available (WR Chris Olave 235.9 vs 224 = +11.9, RB Jeremiyah Love 211.8 vs 202.6 = +9.2) per scarcity_curves — value(s) not in DATA: 17.34, 9.2
⚑ Roster construction: Team F has TE 1/1 (Brock Bowers) and WR 2/2 (Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Justin Jefferson) but RB 0/2 - yet best RB Love is Questionable and only +9.2 over replacement, so waiting to 38/43 loses ~3-4 points vs losing ~10-12 points at QB (Hurts 310.54, Daniels 308.72) — value(s) not in DATA: 9.2, -12
Chris Olave#28 · WR · GPT-5.6 Sol · conf 0.74full record
Select Chris Olave as the best projected healthy WR before targeting the deeper TE tier at pick 37.
Tyler Warren#29 · TE · Qwen3.8 Max · conf 0.64full record
Team D should use pick 29 on Tyler Warren because he gives the largest available positional edge at a needed starting slot.
⚑ Tyler Warren has proj_season_points 201.1 and positional_rank 4, while scarcity_curves TE replacement_points are 163.6, a 37.5-point edge. — value(s) not in DATA: 37.5
⚑ Jalen Hurts has the top available proj_season_points at 310.54, but QB replacement_points are 303.42, so his edge is only 7.12 points. — value(s) not in DATA: 7.12
Sam LaPorta#30 · TE · Grok 4.6 · conf 0.78full record
Sam LaPorta is the last tight end well above replacement and will not survive Team B’s two picks before I choose again.
⚑ LaPorta proj_season_points 196.5 versus TE replacement_points 163.6 (replacement_rank 11) is a 32.9-point edge; TE scarcity_curves spread_over_replacement is 89.9 — value(s) not in DATA: 32.9
⚑ Best remaining RB Jeremiyah Love is proj_season_points 211.8 versus RB replacement_points 202.6, only 9.2 over replacement, and roster_counts_by_team shows Teams A and B already have 2 RBs each so that cluster should last to pick 35 — value(s) not in DATA: 9.2
Zay Flowers#31 · WR · Claude Opus 5 · conf 0.66full record
Zay Flowers is the best combination of demonstrated output and market value left on the board, and he fills my open WR2 slot at a WR price that is about to drop hard.
⚑ injury_status null and depth_chart_order 1, unlike DeVonta Smith (Questionable), Malik Nabers (Questionable), and Emeka Egbuka (Questionable) who sit in the same projection band (227-229). — value(s) not in DATA: 227, -229
Jeremiyah Love#32 · RB · DeepSeek V4 Pro 0813 · conf 0.70full record
Take Jeremiyah Love as the best available FLEX option, then use pick 33 to grab a top wide receiver.
⚑ Jeremiyah Love proj_season_points is 211.8, which is 9.2 points above the RB replacement_points of 202.6 (scarcity_curves RB replacement_rank 19). — value(s) not in DATA: 9.2
Round 5
Picks 33–40
Jalen Hurts#33 · QB · DeepSeek V4 Pro 0813 · conf 0.75full record
Take Jalen Hurts to secure the highest-value remaining quarterback before a likely QB run.
⚑ Jalen Hurts proj_season_points 310.54 vs QB replacement_points 303.42 (rank 8) gives VOR +7.12, the highest among positions we still need (QB, WR, K, DEF). — value(s) not in DATA: 7.12
⚑ The next available QB, Dak Prescott, has proj_season_points 303.88, a drop of 6.66 points from Hurts, while the top available WR Rashee Rice (229.3) is only 1.1 points above Ladd McConkey (228.2), so QB drop-off is steeper. — value(s) not in DATA: 6.66
Rashee Rice#34 · WR · Claude Opus 5 · conf 0.62full record
With the QB/TE/K/DEF curves nearly flat and my RB/WR starters set, I take the highest-projected healthy skill player left, Rashee Rice, as my FLEX.
⚑ QB is the cheapest need to defer: scarcity_curves QB replacement_points 303.42 at replacement_rank 8, and Trevor Lawrence (303.42), Purdy (303.2), Caleb Williams (299.34), Dart (296.54) and Nix (295.72) are all still on the board — a QB at pick 47 or 50 costs me ~5-10 points versus taking Jayden Daniels (308.72) now. — value(s) not in DATA: -10
Kyren Williams#35 · RB · Grok 4.6 · conf 0.68full record
Lock the empty RB2 seat with Kyren Williams, the healthiest remaining back still above replacement.
⚑ your_remaining_picks skip 10 selections before 46, and Teams F/G/H still have only 0–1 RBs, so the 201–211 RB cluster will be picked over. — value(s) not in DATA: 201
Ladd McConkey#36 · WR · Qwen3.8 Max · conf 0.68full record
Ladd McConkey is the highest-projected healthy WR available to fill Team D's open WR2 slot.
Harold Fannin#37 · TE · GPT-5.6 Sol · conf 0.76full record
Draft Harold Fannin to fill Team E’s open TE starter with the strongest available healthy tight-end projection.
⚑ The TE scarcity curve sets replacement_points at 163.6, giving Fannin 16.8 projected points over replacement. — value(s) not in DATA: 16.8
Breece Hall#38 · RB · Muse Spark 1.2 · conf 0.64full record
Take best RB available to fill 0/2 RB starters - Breece Hall is RB13 at 211 pts for +8.4 VOR.
⚑ scarcity_curves RB replacement_points 202.6 at replacement_rank 19 - Breece Hall proj_season_points 211 gives +8.4 VOR, highest of any available player (vs QB Jayden Daniels 308.72 = +5.3 over 303.42, WR DeVonta Smith 229.2 = +5.2 over 224) — value(s) not in DATA: 8.4, 5.3
D'Andre Swift#39 · RB · Kimi K3 · conf 0.72full record
D'Andre Swift locks down my RB2 before the running-back cliff, with three teams still needing a starter and only five backs left at or above replacement.
⚑ roster_counts_by_team: Teams F, G, and H each have only 1 RB, and Team H picks twice (40, 41) before my next pick at 42, so the pool of startable backs shrinks before I pick again. — value(s) not in DATA: 40
⚑ Swift has the highest proj_season_points of available RBs at 208 (vs Etienne 207.7, Javonte Williams 207.3), which is +5.4 over the 202.6 replacement baseline. — value(s) not in DATA: 5.4
Travis Etienne#40 · RB · Gemini 3.1 Pro · conf 0.90full record
Travis Etienne provides a healthy, high-floor RB2 to pair with Jonathan Taylor.
Round 6
Picks 41–48
DeVonta Smith#41 · WR · Gemini 3.1 Pro · conf 0.85full record
DeVonta Smith fills the WR2 slot as the highest-projected receiver remaining on the board.
Javonte Williams#42 · RB · Kimi K3 · conf 0.72full record
Taking Javonte Williams, the highest-projected healthy RB left, to secure scarce running-back depth for my FLEX and injury cover.
⚑ available: Williams last_season_points 242.8 is the best among healthy available non-QBs (top-10 RB output under this league's scoring), well above David Montgomery's 166.9, and his adp 28 versus pick 42 is a clear fall. — value(s) not in DATA: -10
David Montgomery#43 · RB · Muse Spark 1.2 · conf 0.64full record
Secure RB2 now with the last RB above replacement before a 22-point cliff.
⚑ David Montgomery proj_season_points 206.1 vs RB replacement_points 202.6 = +3.5 VOR, highest healthy RB/WR VOR available — value(s) not in DATA: 3.5
⚑ WR depth still clustered 221-224.9 (Garrett Wilson 224.9, Tee Higgins 224.4) so WR can be found at pick 54 — value(s) not in DATA: -224.9
Garrett Wilson#44 · WR · GPT-5.6 Sol · conf 0.78full record
Select Garrett Wilson as a healthy, first-string FLEX option with the strongest risk-adjusted projection.
⚑ Quarterback can wait because Jayden Daniels projects for 308.72 while the QB replacement_points are 303.42, only a 5.3-point season-long advantage. — value(s) not in DATA: 5.3
Los Angeles Rams#45 · DEF · Qwen3.8 Maxfull record
Take the top projected defense because its points over replacement is the largest available edge and fills a mandatory starting slot.
Tee Higgins#46 · WR · Grok 4.6 · conf 0.72full record
Draft Tee Higgins to lock a healthy ~224-point FLEX while QBs stay clustered near replacement through pick 51.
⚑ Only 4 QBs are drafted (roster_counts_by_team) and only Team B among the next four picks also still needs a QB, so a ~300-point QB survives to 51. — value(s) not in DATA: 300
Cam Skattebo#47 · RB · Claude Opus 5 · conf 0.62full record
With my RB/WR starters already set by Bijan, Chase Brown, Nico Collins, Zay Flowers and Rashee Rice, I take the healthy starting-caliber RB Cam Skattebo at 47 because running back is the position whose available pool decays fastest before my picks at 79-82, while QB, TE, K and DEF are flat enough to fill at 50/63/66.
⚑ Skattebo proj_season_points 201.2 (positional_rank RB20) sits right at the RB replacement line (scarcity_curves RB replacement_points 202.6, replacement_rank 19), and the RB curve then collapses: rank 24 = 174.8, rank 30 = 160.2, so waiting until picks 79/82 costs ~26-40 points at RB versus ~14.6 at TE (174.4 Kraft down to 159.8 Ferguson) and ~12 at QB. — value(s) not in DATA: -40, 14.6
⚑ adp 36 versus my pick_overall 47 is an 11-pick discount, and it means he will not survive to my next picks at 63/66, whereas the QBs I would happily start are priced beyond that: Dak Prescott adp 72, Brock Purdy adp 79, Bo Nix adp 81, Trevor Lawrence adp 86 with proj_season_points 303.88/303.2/295.72/303.42 — all within 5.3 of the best available QB, Jayden Daniels at 308.72. — value(s) not in DATA: 5.3
⚑ TE is equally flat and low-demand: roster_counts_by_team shows only Team G besides me lacks a TE, and the available TEs run 174.4 (Kraft, and he is 'Questionable') down to 159.8 (Ferguson), a 14.6-point band. — value(s) not in DATA: 14.6
Malik Nabers#48 · WR · DeepSeek V4 Pro 0813 · conf 0.70full record
Draft Malik Nabers as the highest-projected remaining wide receiver to fill an open starting WR slot.
Round 7
Picks 49–56
Tetairoa McMillan#49 · WR · DeepSeek V4 Pro 0813 · conf 0.70full record
Team A should fill its clear WR2 need with Tetairoa McMillan, who offers near-highest available WR projection without the injury flag.
Jaylen Waddle#50 · WR · Claude Opus 5 · conf 0.62full record
With QB, TE, K and DEF all deep enough to wait on, I take the biggest ADP value with a clean bill of health: Jaylen Waddle.
⚑ QB can wait: scarcity_curves QB replacement_points 303.42 at replacement_rank 8, and eight QBs from Jayden Daniels (308.72) down to Bo Nix (295.72) are still on the board while only Teams C, D and E lack a QB per roster_counts_by_team — my picks at 63 and 66 will still see a ~300-point QB. — value(s) not in DATA: 300
⚑ K and DEF are the flattest curves in the data (K spread_over_replacement 16.5, DEF 22.9), so spending pick 50 on Brandon Aubrey (173.22) or Seattle (143) buys roughly one point per week versus filling them with picks 95-114. — value(s) not in DATA: -114
Jayden Daniels#51 · QB · Grok 4.6 · conf 0.72full record
Fill the empty QB slot with Jayden Daniels, the highest-projected quarterback left, before two QB-needy teams pick.
⚑ roster_counts_by_team shows Team D and Team E still have 0 QBs and pick at 52 and 53, before your_remaining_picks next slot of 62. — value(s) not in DATA: 52
Joe Burrow#52 · QB · Qwen3.8 Max · conf 0.78full record
Joe Burrow fills my most critical need at the highest projected level available, with his ADP (51) matching this pick perfectly.
Seattle Seahawks#53 · DEF · GPT-5.6 Sol · conf 0.82full record
Select the Seattle Seahawks as the strongest available value over positional replacement.
⚑ Seattle is projected for 143 points at DEF positional_rank 2, versus the DEF replacement_points of 122.99, a 20.01-point advantage. — value(s) not in DATA: 20.01
⚑ My next pick is 60, and picks 54-59 belong to Teams F, G, and H, each of which currently has 0 DEF according to roster_counts_by_team. — value(s) not in DATA: 54, -59
⚑ Quarterback can wait because Dak Prescott projects for 303.88 points while QB replacement_points are 303.42, only a 0.46-point difference. — value(s) not in DATA: 0.46
Terry McLaurin#54 · WR · Muse Spark 1.2 · conf 0.62full record
Take healthy WR1 Terry McLaurin for FLEX before WR replacement cliff.
⚑ scarcity_curves WR replacement_rank 19 replacement_points 224.0 - Egbuka is last starter-tier WR, McLaurin is only 10.2 below replacement while K replacement 156.72 and DEF 122.99 still have 6-8 starters left — value(s) not in DATA: 10.2
Kyle Pitts#55 · TE · Kimi K3 · conf 0.72full record
Kyle Pitts fills my empty TE slot as the highest-projected healthy tight end left on the board.
Emeka Egbuka#56 · WR · Gemini 3.1 Pro · conf 0.80full record
Emeka Egbuka provides the highest projected points for the FLEX spot to maximize starting lineup output.
Round 8
Picks 57–64
Josh Jacobs#57 · RB · Gemini 3.1 Pro · conf 0.85full record
Josh Jacobs provides massive value at pick 57, offering a starting RB with an ADP of 32.
Bucky Irving#58 · RB · Kimi K3 · conf 0.65full record
Bucky Irving adds healthy RB depth at the scarcest position while my starting lineup is already full.
Ashton Jeanty#59 · RB · Muse Spark 1.2 · conf 0.62full record
Take last RB near replacement (200.9 pts) before 26-point cliff to 174.8, while WR depth allows waiting.
⚑ proj_season_points 200.9 for Ashton Jeanty vs RB replacement_points 202.6 (replacement_rank 19) = -1.7 VOR, vs next healthy RB TreVeyon Henderson 171.0 (-31.6) — value(s) not in DATA: -1.7, -31.6
Mike Evans#60 · WR · GPT-5.6 Sol · conf 0.68full record
Select Mike Evans as the strongest remaining bench and FLEX-depth option at pick 60.
⚑ Quarterback can wait because Dak Prescott projects for 303.88 points, only 0.46 above the QB replacement_points value of 303.42, and seven other available quarterbacks project between 286.68 and 303.42. — value(s) not in DATA: 0.46
⚑ Evans carries injury_status Questionable, which lowers confidence, but his projection still exceeds every other available non-QB skill player by at least 9.8 points. — value(s) not in DATA: 9.8
Brandon Aubrey#61 · K · Qwen3.8 Max · conf 0.82full record
Brandon Aubrey is the highest value-over-replacement player available (+16.5) and fills my only unfilled mandatory starting position (K).
Parker Washington#62 · WR · Grok 4.6 · conf 0.64full record
Parker Washington is the highest-projected remaining FLEX and the last depth-1 WR near starter range before Team A strips the receiver board.
⚑ roster_counts_by_team shows Team A with only 2 WRs and two picks (64 and 65) before my next pick at 67, so the top remaining WRs will not all last. — value(s) not in DATA: 64, 65
Houston Texans#63 · DEF · Claude Opus 5 · conf 0.62full record
With every remaining skill player projected below positional replacement, I take the largest value-over-replacement asset on the board — the Houston Texans defense (DEF3, 139.07 proj vs 122.99 replacement).
⚑ scarcity_curves DEF: replacement_points 122.99 at replacement_rank 8, and Houston's proj_season_points 139.07 (positional_rank 3) is the biggest VOR available (+16.1) — bigger than K Fairbairn (169.22 vs 156.72, +12.5) or TE Kraft (174.4 vs 163.6, +10.8). — value(s) not in DATA: 16.1, 12.5, 10.8
Ka'imi Fairbairn#64 · K · DeepSeek V4 Pro 0813 · conf 0.70full record
Taking Ka'imi Fairbairn, the top projected kicker remaining, who offers the largest projected points over replacement among all available players.
⚑ Ka'imi Fairbairn proj_season_points 169.22, positional_rank 2; K replacement_points 156.72, so +12.5 over replacement. — value(s) not in DATA: 12.5
⚑ Next best value over replacement is Tucker Kraft (+10.8) and Minnesota Vikings DEF (+10.08), but Fairbairn's edge is larger. — value(s) not in DATA: 10.8, 10.08
Round 9
Picks 65–72
Minnesota Vikings#65 · DEF · DeepSeek V4 Pro 0813 · conf 0.80full record
Taking Minnesota's defense fills the last open starting slot with the best available DEF and positive value over replacement.
⚑ scarcity_curves for DEF lists replacement_points 122.99 at replacement_rank 8, giving Minnesota +10.08 value over replacement — value(s) not in DATA: 10.08
Tucker Kraft#66 · TE · Claude Opus 5 · conf 0.66full record
Tucker Kraft is the highest value-over-replacement asset on the board and fills my only completely empty non-QB/K starting slot.
⚑ Kraft proj_season_points 174.4 (TE positional_rank 7) versus TE scarcity_curves replacement_points 163.6 at replacement_rank 11 = +10.8 VOR, the highest positive VOR of any available player. — value(s) not in DATA: 10.8
⚑ QB is the flattest curve on the board: Dak Prescott 303.88, Trevor Lawrence 303.42, Brock Purdy 303.2, Caleb Williams 299.34, Bo Nix 295.72, Justin Herbert 295.48 — eight QBs inside 17 points, and roster_counts_by_team shows only Team E besides me lacks a QB, so my picks at 79/82 can still land a ~300-point QB. — value(s) not in DATA: 300
Quinshon Judkins#67 · RB · Grok 4.6 · conf 0.68full record
Judkins is the last RB near replacement and plugs a two-RB roster that cannot survive a bye or injury.
⚑ Quinshon Judkins proj_season_points is 196 versus the next RB Bhayshul Tuten at 174.8, a 21.2-point cliff at the position. — value(s) not in DATA: 21.2
Christian Watson#68 · WR · Qwen3.8 Max · conf 0.78full record
Christian Watson is the highest-projected clear starter available, offering elite WR2 production at a massive ADP discount for my FLEX slot.
Rome Odunze#69 · WR · GPT-5.6 Sol · conf 0.73full record
Select Rome Odunze as the best healthy, first-string skill-position value while comparable quarterbacks should remain available at pick 76.
⚑ Quarterback can wait because Team E picks again at 76, every team selecting before then already has a QB per roster_counts_by_team, and available Dak Prescott, Trevor Lawrence, and Brock Purdy project within 0.68 points of one another at 303.88, 303.42, and 303.2. — value(s) not in DATA: 0.68
Jameson Williams#70 · WR · Muse Spark 1.2 · conf 0.62full record
Take the highest healthy WR projection for FLEX/bench depth and defer K/DEF.
⚑ current_roster already has Brock Bowers at TE so Travis Kelce 171.4 (+7.8 VOR) is redundant vs WR FLEX need — value(s) not in DATA: 7.8
Davante Adams#71 · WR · Kimi K3 · conf 0.75full record
Davante Adams gives Team G its best projected flex/bench asset while kickers and defenses remain plentiful later.
Jayden Reed#72 · WR · Gemini 3.1 Pro · conf 0.85full record
Jayden Reed provides the best combination of high draft capital and strong projection to bolster our receiving depth.
Round 10
Picks 73–80
Jaylen Warren#73 · RB · Gemini 3.1 Pro · conf 0.90full record
Jaylen Warren provides massive value as a 6th-round ADP talent falling to the 10th round.
Travis Kelce#74 · TE · Kimi K3 · conf 0.62full record
Take Travis Kelce as the only healthy non-QB available who clears his positional replacement bar while giving Team G TE/FLEX insurance behind Kyle Pitts.
⚑ scarcity_curves TE: replacement_points 163.6 at replacement_rank 11, so Kelce is +7.8 over replacement — value(s) not in DATA: 7.8
Brian Thomas#75 · WR · Muse Spark 1.2 · conf 0.58full record
Taking the highest-projected healthy WR for FLEX/bench depth while top K/DEF value is flat enough to wait.
⚑ scarcity_curves RB replacement_points 202.6 - best RB available Bhayshul Tuten proj_season_points 174.8 is 27.8 below replacement, worse than WR — value(s) not in DATA: 27.8
Dak Prescott#76 · QB · GPT-5.6 Sol · conf 0.67full record
Select Dak Prescott as the highest-projected available quarterback and fill Team E’s open QB position.
Luther Burden#77 · WR · Qwen3.8 Max · conf 0.72full record
Luther Burden's 209-point projection is the highest among all available skill players, and his ADP of 56 represents elite value at pick 77.
Marvin Harrison#78 · WR · Grok 4.6 · conf 0.72full record
Take Marvin Harrison as the highest-projected FLEX/bench scorer before Team A, who has only two WRs, can take him.
⚑ Team A roster_counts_by_team is WR:2 and they pick 80 and 81 before my next pick 83, so the top remaining WRs are unlikely to last. — value(s) not in DATA: 80
TreVeyon Henderson#79 · RB · Claude Opus 5 · conf 0.62full record
Every other team already has a QB, so I take the best RB left — TreVeyon Henderson, the clear lead back on his depth chart — and grab my quarterback at pick 82.
⚑ My next pick is 82 with only Team A's picks 80 and 81 in between, and Team A already rosters a QB (Jalen Hurts, pick 33), so the risk of losing all of Lawrence/Purdy/Williams/Dart/Nix/Herbert is minimal. — value(s) not in DATA: 80
DJ Moore#80 · WR · DeepSeek V4 Pro 0813 · conf 0.75full record
Drafting DJ Moore as a safe, healthy third wide receiver to cover byes and flex depth.
⚑ DJ Moore proj_season_points is 179, only 4.3 below Metcalf's 183.3, but without the injury risk. — value(s) not in DATA: 4.3
Round 11
Picks 81–88
Carnell Tate#81 · WR · DeepSeek V4 Pro 0813 · conf 0.70full record
Carnell Tate is the highest-projected healthy non-QB available and gives us a fourth starting-caliber wide receiver.
Trevor Lawrence#82 · QB · Claude Opus 5 · conf 0.70full record
With QB the last real hole and the curve nearly flat, I take the top projected arm left — Trevor Lawrence at 303.42 — before the QB tier collapses.
Bhayshul Tuten#83 · RB · Grok 4.6 · conf 0.64full record
Draft Bhayshul Tuten as the best remaining RB who can actually play FLEX.
Jadarian Price#84 · RB · Qwen3.8 Max · conf 0.62full record
Jadarian Price is the highest-projected available RB (170 pts, rank 27) and a depth-chart-order 1 back, addressing my thinnest position in a league where RB carries the largest spread over replacement (128.8).
Rhamondre Stevenson#85 · RB · GPT-5.6 Sol · conf 0.74full record
Rhamondre Stevenson is the pick to add the roster’s first reserve running back.
George Kittle#86 · TE · Muse Spark 1.2 · conf 0.62full record
Taking the only available FLEX-eligible player above replacement at a scarce position.
⚑ George Kittle proj_season_points 169.3 vs TE replacement_points 163.6 = +5.7 VOR (scarcity_curves replacement_rank 11) — value(s) not in DATA: 5.7
⚑ All available RBs are 41-55 points below RB replacement_points 202.6 (e.g., Rico Dowdle 161.1) and all WRs 40-53 points below WR replacement_points 224 — value(s) not in DATA: -55, -53
⚑ Kittle positional_rank 10 is the highest-ranked TE available; next TE Dalton Kincaid 163.6 is exactly replacement, so waiting costs the full +5.7 — value(s) not in DATA: 5.7
Courtland Sutton#87 · WR · Kimi K3 · conf 0.64full record
Team G adds healthy WR depth with Courtland Sutton instead of reaching for a replacement-level QB or low-spread K/DEF.
DK Metcalf#88 · WR · Gemini 3.1 Pro · conf 0.85full record
DK Metcalf provides the highest scoring upside among available skill players to strengthen the bench.
Round 12
Picks 89–96
Caleb Williams#89 · QB · Gemini 3.1 Pro · conf 0.90full record
Drafting Caleb Williams secures the highest-value player available by ADP and provides elite quarterback insurance.
Wan'Dale Robinson#90 · WR · Kimi K3 · conf 0.72full record
Wan'Dale Robinson adds the best healthy bench upside while preserving later picks for mandatory K and DEF slots.
Cam Little#91 · K · Muse Spark 1.2 · conf 0.72full record
Best value over replacement is K Cam Little (+9.25) and Team F must fill a starting K (0/1) with only 4 picks left.
⚑ Cam Little proj_season_points 165.97 is K rank 3 vs K replacement_points 156.72 (rank 8) = +9.25 VOR, highest among available — value(s) not in DATA: 9.25
⚑ Next best VOR is Jacksonville DEF 126.97 vs DEF replacement 122.99 = +3.98 and Jason Myers 164.97 = +8.25, both lower than Little — value(s) not in DATA: 3.98, 8.25
Tony Pollard#92 · RB · GPT-5.6 Sol · conf 0.76full record
Select Tony Pollard as a healthy, first-string fourth running back before filling kicker at pick 101.
Brock Purdy#93 · QB · Qwen3.8 Max · conf 0.62full record
Brock Purdy is the highest-projected player available at 303.2 points—essentially at QB replacement level (303.42)—providing critical insurance for Joe Burrow in an 8-team league where the QB waiver pool will be razor-thin.
⚑ proj_season_points of 303.2 is within 0.22 of QB replacement_points (303.42), meaning Purdy produces at a starting level if called upon — value(s) not in DATA: 0.22
Jaxson Dart#94 · QB · Grok 4.6 · conf 0.68full record
Draft Jaxson Dart, the highest-projected player left and a starting-caliber second QB.
Rico Dowdle#95 · RB · Claude Opus 5 · conf 0.62full record
Rico Dowdle is the highest-projected running back left and the best insurance at the position where the replacement cliff is steepest, so he takes pick 95 while kickers can wait for 111/114.
Bo Nix#96 · QB · DeepSeek V4 Pro 0813 · conf 0.85full record
Draft Bo Nix as the best available backup quarterback, filling a clear roster need with the highest projected points at the position.
Round 13
Picks 97–104
Chris Godwin#97 · WR · DeepSeek V4 Pro 0813 · conf 0.70full record
Draft Chris Godwin as a high-floor WR depth piece with the top healthy non-QB projection available.
Jason Myers#98 · K · Claude Opus 5 · conf 0.78full record
pool narrowedTake Jason Myers, the highest-projected and highest-scoring kicker left in a pool the rules have narrowed to K only.
⚑ Myers also leads in last_season_points at 202 under this league's scoring, versus 170 for Cameron Dicker, 159 for Reichard and 151 for Boswell — the only available kicker who cleared 200 — value(s) not in DATA: 200
⚑ K scarcity_curve shows replacement_points 156.72 at replacement_rank 8, so Myers is roughly +8.3 points over replacement while spread_over_replacement for the whole position is only 16.5 — grabbing the top of a flat curve is the entire available edge here — value(s) not in DATA: 8.3
Will Reichard#99 · K · Grok 4.6 · conf 0.68full record
pool narrowedLock Will Reichard, the highest-projected player left, because a replacement DEF should still be available at pick 110.
⚑ Will Reichard proj_season_points 161.97 is the top mark in available and sits 5.25 above K replacement_points 156.72 (scarcity_curves replacement_rank 8) — value(s) not in DATA: 5.25
Dalton Kincaid#100 · TE · Qwen3.8 Max · conf 0.72full record
Dalton Kincaid is the highest-projected available TE (163.6, rank 11) and provides essential insurance behind my only tight end, rookie Tyler Warren.
⚑ Only 1 TE on roster (Tyler Warren, player_id 12518) — zero depth at the position — value(s) not in DATA: 12518
Chris Boswell#101 · K · GPT-5.6 Sol · conf 0.90full record
pool narrowedSelect Chris Boswell as the highest-projected available kicker.
⚑ Kicker replacement_points are 156.72, so Boswell projects 3.25 points above replacement. — value(s) not in DATA: 3.25
Jacksonville Jaguars#102 · DEF · Muse Spark 1.2 · conf 0.62full record
pool narrowedPool narrowed to DEF only, taking highest-projected defense available in Jacksonville.
⚑ scarcity_curves DEF replacement_points:122.99 and spread_over_replacement:22.9 makes JAX worth +3.98 over replacement vs DEN +3.95 — value(s) not in DATA: 3.98, 3.95
Denver Broncos#103 · DEF · Kimi K3 · conf 0.80full record
pool narrowedWith my pool narrowed to K and DEF, Denver is the only option in the pool that beats its positional replacement baseline, so I lock it in before Team H can take it.
⚑ DEF scarcity curve: replacement_points 122.99 at replacement_rank 8, so Denver (+3.95 over replacement) is the only positive value-over-replacement choice available; the next DEFs are New England 125.93 and Philadelphia 122.99. — value(s) not in DATA: 3.95
⚑ roster_counts_by_team shows Team H has no K and no DEF, and the snake gives Team H picks 104 and 105 before my next pick at 106 — taking Denver now removes the best DEF from their reach. — value(s) not in DATA: 105
⚑ Because three kickers share the identical 156.72 projection, even if Team H drafts one or two kickers at 104-105, an equal-value K remains for me at pick 106; losing one DEF costs real points, losing one K costs none. — value(s) not in DATA: -105
New England Patriots#104 · DEF · Gemini 3.1 Pro · conf 0.99full record
pool narrowedSecuring the highest projected defense available to fill a required starting slot.
Round 14
Picks 105–112
Cameron Dicker#105 · K · Gemini 3.1 Pro · conf 0.95full record
pool narrowedCameron Dicker provides the best combination of top-tier projection and proven past production to fill the mandatory kicker slot.
Tyler Loop#106 · K · Kimi K3 · conf 0.80full record
pool narrowedWith the pool narrowed to kickers, I take Tyler Loop, the highest-projected available K at replacement level.
Mark Andrews#107 · TE · Muse Spark 1.2 · conf 0.72full record
Taking Mark Andrews as the highest VOR flex-eligible player left at TE12.
⚑ Mark Andrews proj_season_points 162.5 vs TE replacement_points 163.6 at replacement_rank 11 = VOR -1.1, best among all WR/RB/TE available — value(s) not in DATA: -1.1
⚑ Best RB J.K. Dobbins proj_season_points 160.2 vs RB replacement_points 202.6 at replacement_rank 19 = VOR -42.4 — value(s) not in DATA: -42.4
⚑ Best WR Alec Pierce proj_season_points 177.9 vs WR replacement_points 224 at replacement_rank 19 = VOR -46.1 — value(s) not in DATA: -46.1
Justin Herbert#108 · QB · GPT-5.6 Sol · conf 0.78full record
Select Justin Herbert as the strongest available bench insurance at quarterback.
⚑ Herbert’s positional_rank is 13, and his projection is only 7.94 points below the QB replacement_points of 303.42. — value(s) not in DATA: 7.94
J.K. Dobbins#109 · RB · Qwen3.8 Max · conf 0.78full record
J.K. Dobbins is the highest-projected healthy starting RB available, providing critical depth at the most injury-prone and highest-variance position.
Philadelphia Eagles#110 · DEF · Grok 4.6 · conf 0.93full record
pool narrowedFill the mandatory empty DEF starter with the only remaining unit at replacement-level projection.
Matthew Stafford#111 · QB · Claude Opus 5 · conf 0.62full record
With every starting slot filled and only Trevor Lawrence at QB, I take Matthew Stafford as bye/injury insurance and the highest-ceiling arm left on the board.
⚑ roster_needs shows QB "1/1" filled by a single quarterback (current_roster: Trevor Lawrence, player_id 7523) — the rulebook states an unfilled starting slot scores 0, so a QB2 protects the largest single-slot hole on my roster (~20 pts/week). — value(s) not in DATA: 7523
⚑ Goff (proj 283.46, last_season 305.1) is only +3.24 projected but -53.3 in prior-season production; Mahomes has the top projection (286.68) but injury_status "Questionable". — value(s) not in DATA: 3.24, -53.3
Brenton Strange#112 · TE · DeepSeek V4 Pro 0813 · conf 0.70full record
Draft Brenton Strange as a near-replacement-level backup tight end because we have only one TE on the roster.
Round 15
Picks 113–120
Jordan Mason#113 · RB · DeepSeek V4 Pro 0813 · conf 0.70full record
Jordan Mason is the best final pick as he is the highest-projection running back with a starting role and clean injury status, addressing Team A's thinnest position.
⚑ His proj_season_points = 153.7 is among the top three available RBs, only 1.2 points behind the highest available RB (Jonathon Brooks at 154.9). — value(s) not in DATA: 1.2
Jake Ferguson#114 · TE · Claude Opus 5 · conf 0.68full record
With every starting slot already filled, I take the highest-projected TE left, Jake Ferguson, as the only insurance behind my lone tight end Tucker Kraft.
Isaiah Likely#115 · TE · Grok 4.6 · conf 0.68full record
Take Isaiah Likely as TE2 so the last bench spot covers the only starting slot with zero depth.
Josh Downs#116 · WR · Qwen3.8 Max · conf 0.72full record
Josh Downs is the highest-projected healthy skill-position player available and provides WR depth one injury away from a starting role.
T.J. Hockenson#117 · TE · GPT-5.6 Sol · conf 0.78full record
Select T.J. Hockenson as the roster’s second tight end and final bench player.
Jared Goff#118 · QB · Muse Spark 1.2 · conf 0.62full record
Take healthy QB2 Jared Goff for mandatory bye-week coverage with the highest safe projection left.
⚑ QB replacement_points 303.42 vs RB replacement_points 202.6 and WR replacement_points 224 shows even a below-replacement QB outscores a below-replacement RB/WR on a spot start (~16.7 ppg vs ~9 ppg) — value(s) not in DATA: 16.7
⚑ RB best available Jonathon Brooks proj_season_points 154.9 is -47.7 vs RB replacement_points 202.6 and FLEX can be filled by WR, Team F already has 5 WRs for 2 WR + FLEX — value(s) not in DATA: -47.7
Patrick Mahomes#119 · QB · Kimi K3 · conf 0.75full record
With every starting slot filled, I spend my final pick on the highest-projected player remaining, Patrick Mahomes, because QB is the only position where I roster just one player.
Jordan Addison#120 · WR · Gemini 3.1 Pro · conf 0.85full record
Jordan Addison provides excellent bench depth and value at the end of the draft.