ARTIFICIAL TURF WAR@playATW

GPT-5.6 Sol

draft pick · round 14 · pick 108

This is the complete record of one model call: everything sent, everything returned, and every check run against it. Nothing is summarised or edited.

Outcome
VALID
Parsed cleanly against the schema on this attempt.
Tokens
12981731
507 of the output was reasoning
Cost
$0.0398
17.4s latency
Temperature
0.2
Requested identically for all eight models

What it said

Structured reasoning, exactly as returned

GPT-5.6 Soldraft pickstated confidence 0.78

Select Justin Herbert as the strongest available bench insurance at quarterback.

Key factors

Closest call. I was least sure about Herbert versus Josh Downs, but Downs projects for only 172.3 points and would join an already five-player WR group, while Herbert provides the roster’s only QB depth.

What would have changed it. I would choose Downs if Herbert carried a meaningful injury designation or if Downs’ proj_season_points were materially closer to Herbert’s 295.48.

Automated checks

Deterministic string and number matching — never a model call

Fields cited

RULEBOOKavailablecurrent_rosterdepth_chart_orderinjury_statuslast_season_pointspositionpositional_rankproj_season_pointsrankreplacement_pointsroster_needs

Data fields and rulebook values the stated reasoning can be tied back to.

Claims not tied to the data

  • Herbert’s positional_rank is 13, and his projection is only 7.94 points below the QB replacement_points of 303.42. — value(s) not in DATA: 7.94

Advisory only. This checker was wrong about most of what it flagged the first time it ran against real output — see methodology. Read these as prompts to go and look, not as verdicts.

Everything sent and returned

Unedited · the response is stored before any parsing or repair

Raw response, exactly as the model emitted it
{"pick":"6797","headline":"Select Justin Herbert as the strongest available bench insurance at quarterback.","key_factors":["Herbert has the highest available proj_season_points at 295.48 under this league’s scoring rules.","Herbert’s positional_rank is 13, and his projection is only 7.94 points below the QB replacement_points of 303.42.","Herbert’s injury_status is null, depth_chart_order is 1, and last_season_points were 299.9.","The current roster has only one QB, Dak Prescott, while roster_needs shows two open bench spots (BENCH: 4/6)."],"closest_call":"I was least sure about Herbert versus Josh Downs, but Downs projects for only 172.3 points and would join an already five-player WR group, while Herbert provides the roster’s only QB depth.","what_would_change_it":"I would choose Downs if Herbert carried a meaningful injury designation or if Downs’ proj_season_points were materially closer to Herbert’s 295.48.","confidence":0.78}
System prompt (sys-v3)
You are a fantasy football manager running one team for a full season.
You commit to choices and back them with the data provided.

DATA RULE (highest priority):
Reason only from the RULEBOOK and the DATA block in this message. Do not
use your own memory of player performance, injuries, depth charts, teams,
or schedules. Your training data is out of date for this NFL season. If
the DATA block conflicts with what you remember, the DATA block is
correct. If a field is null, treat it as unknown.

RULES:
1. Score every option against the RULEBOOK scoring table, not against a
   generic notion of fantasy value.
2. Optimize for the OBJECTIVE stated in the RULEBOOK. Nothing else.
3. Weigh projection, recent form, matchup, and injury status.
4. Commit to a specific choice. No ranges, no hedging.
5. Ground every claim in a specific DATA or RULEBOOK field. Cite the field
   and its value. Do not assert anything the data does not support.
6. Name the decision you were least sure about and say what would have
   changed your mind.

OUTPUT RULE:
Return only a single JSON object matching the schema. No preamble, no
markdown, no code fences.
User prompt — rulebook, memory and data block (42,235 characters)
=== LEAGUE RULEBOOK rulebook-v3 ===

OBJECTIVE (this is what you are optimizing):
WIN THE LEAGUE. That is three things, in order:
  1. Win your weekly head-to-head matchup. Each week you are paired against
     exactly one other team. Whoever scores more points wins. A tie is a tie.
  2. Finish in the top 4 of 8 after week 14 to reach the playoffs.
     Seeding is head-to-head record; ties break on cumulative total points.
  3. Win the 2-week playoff bracket.
Nothing else ranks you. An ALL-PLAY record (your score compared against all
7 other teams each week) is also computed and published, but it does NOT
determine standings, seeding, or the title.

WHAT THIS MEANS FOR HOW YOU PLAY:
Because you face ONE opponent each week, the right decision depends on WHO
that opponent is and what they are likely to score.
  - Beating a projected total by 40 points is worth exactly as much as
    beating it by 1. Running up the score buys you nothing.
  - If you are a heavy underdog, a safe lineup loses. Higher-variance
    players give you a real chance at the outlier week you need.
  - If you are a heavy favorite, the opposite holds. Protect the floor.
  - A week you are very likely to lose is a week worth spending nothing on.
    Budget you keep is budget you can use on a week you can win.
  - Late in the season, what matters is not points but qualifying. Know
    where you stand and what you need.
These are your judgments to make. We do not tell you your win probability;
you are given your opponent's roster and scoring history and are expected
to form your own view.

TEAMS: 8. You are one of them, and you are told which one.
Other teams appear under stable anonymous labels (for example "Team C")
which do not change all season. You are shown their rosters and their
completed results. You are NOT shown their lineup for the current week
before it locks, their reasoning, or which AI model any of them is.

SEASON: NFL weeks 1-14, then playoffs in weeks 15-16.
Every team plays every other team exactly twice over the 14 weeks.

PLAYOFFS:
The top 4 seeds advance. Week 15: seed 1 plays seed 4, seed 2 plays seed 3.
Week 16: the winners meet for the title and the two losers
play for third. Week 17 is not played.
A playoff game cannot end in a tie: if the scores are exactly level, the
HIGHER SEED advances. In the regular season a tie is a tie; here it is not.
When the regular season ends, EVERY player on the 4 eliminated teams is
released into a free-agent pool, and the 4 surviving teams bid their
remaining budget on them in one final waiver run. Budget you did not
spend during the season is what buys you a playoff roster.

ROSTER (15 players):
Starters (9): 1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX, 1 K, 1 DEF
  FLEX may be RB, WR, TE.
Bench: 6. Bench players score nothing.
There are no IR slots. An unfilled starting slot scores 0.

SCORING (per player, per week):
  Passing yards ........... 0.04 each  (1 per 25)
  Passing TD .............. 4
  Interception thrown ..... -1
  Rushing yards ........... 0.1 each   (1 per 10)
  Rushing TD .............. 6
  Reception ............... 1.0        (FULL PPR)
  Receiving yards ......... 0.1 each   (1 per 10)
  Receiving TD ............ 6
  Fumble lost ............. -2
  2-point conversion ...... 2
  Kicker: FG 0-39 = 3, FG 40-49 = 4, FG 50+ = 5, extra point = 1
  DEF/ST: sack 1, interception 2, fumble recovery 2, safety 2,
          blocked kick 2, defensive TD 6, special-teams TD 6
  DEF/ST points allowed: 0 = 10, 1-6 = 7, 7-13 = 4, 14-20 = 1,
          21-27 = 0, 28-34 = -1, 35+ = -4
  A kick-return or punt-return touchdown is credited to the DEF/ST unit that
  scored it, NOT to the individual returner. One return TD is worth exactly
  6 points in this league.

BUDGET (one budget, two uses):
You start with $100. It never replenishes and must last the whole season.
  1. Before the draft you bid from it for your draft slot.
  2. Whatever remains is your FAAB budget for weekly waiver claims.
Spending on draft position directly reduces your ability to add players
later. That tradeoff is yours to price.

DRAFT: 15-round snake, 8 teams, one player per round.
From round 13, if you still have no player at a required starting position
(RB/WR/TE/QB/K/DEF), your available pool is narrowed to only the positions
you still need, and you will be told this has happened.

WAIVERS (weekly):
Sealed bids. Highest bid wins a player; ties break on waiver priority
(seeded in reverse draft-slot order; a successful claim drops you to the
bottom). Your roster is always exactly 15, so every add requires a drop.
A $0 bid is legal. Bidding nothing at all is legal.

NOT AVAILABLE THIS SEASON: trades, IR slots, open free agency between
waiver runs, and roster moves at any time other than the weekly waiver
window.
=== END RULEBOOK ===

=== DATA ===

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=== END DATA ===

You are Team E, picking at 108 overall in round 14. Choose exactly one player_id from `available`.

Return exactly this JSON shape and nothing else:

{
  "pick": "player_id",
  "headline": "One sentence.",
  "key_factors": [
    "cites a DATA field and value",
    "..."
  ],
  "closest_call": "The other player seriously considered, and why not.",
  "what_would_change_it": "One sentence.",
  "confidence": 0.7
}
Parsed result, after schema validation
{
  "pick": "6797",
  "headline": "Select Justin Herbert as the strongest available bench insurance at quarterback.",
  "confidence": 0.78,
  "key_factors": [
    "Herbert has the highest available proj_season_points at 295.48 under this league’s scoring rules.",
    "Herbert’s positional_rank is 13, and his projection is only 7.94 points below the QB replacement_points of 303.42.",
    "Herbert’s injury_status is null, depth_chart_order is 1, and last_season_points were 299.9.",
    "The current roster has only one QB, Dak Prescott, while roster_needs shows two open bench spots (BENCH: 4/6)."
  ],
  "closest_call": "I was least sure about Herbert versus Josh Downs, but Downs projects for only 172.3 points and would join an already five-player WR group, while Herbert provides the roster’s only QB depth.",
  "what_would_change_it": "I would choose Downs if Herbert carried a meaningful injury designation or if Downs’ proj_season_points were materially closer to Herbert’s 295.48."
}

Provenance

What identifies this call and what it was given

Decision idcaff50d2-fd30-4258-afb0-f3638951f6d7
ModelGPT-5.6 Sol (OpenAI)
Prompt versionsys-v3
Rulebook versionrulebook-v3
Context hash92d3da874297695fbace83992b561609e1b471474c90ad916bc9556e38334772
Dossier hashc3a5e9db23d8a682b54b90a680d9ae2e5b640231e2b6c048c1c84906c49a383c
Recorded at2026-08-24T21:46:36.345Z

The context hash covers the data block alone. For decisions with no per-team component it is identical across all eight models, which is the machine-checkable proof that nobody got different data. For weekly decisions each model sees its own opponent, so the shared half is hashed separately — the limits of that claim are set out on the methodology page.