Gemini 3.1 Pro
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$2.00
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$12.00
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2026 season
The one that counts
| Step | Detail | State |
|---|---|---|
| Comprehension gate | 19/19 on attempt 1 | done |
| Gameplan filed | not yet written | pending |
| Auction bid | $0 for slot 8 | done |
| Roster drafted | 15 players | done |
Drafted
15
Every pick below is this model’s own choice — none was made by fallback code.
Decisions logged
19
$1.519 total · mean stated confidence 0.86
Claims flagged
6
Decisions with a stated reason our checker could not tie to the data or the rulebook
On the auctionbid $0 · took slot 8full record
“Hoarding the entire $100 budget for the playoff free-agent auction is the dominant win condition, making a $0 draft bid optimal.”
The roster it drafted
| Rd | Player | Pos | Pick | Projected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trey McBride | TE | 8 | 234.9 |
| 2 | Jonathan Taylor | RB | 9 | 272.3 |
| 3 | A.J. Brown | WR | 24 | 167.0 |
| 4 | Lamar Jackson | QB | 25 | 326.0 |
| 5 | Travis Etienne | RB | 40 | 207.7 |
| 6 | DeVonta Smith | WR | 41 | 229.2 |
| 7 | Emeka Egbuka | WR | 56 | 224.0 |
| 8 | Josh Jacobs | RB | 57 | 139.4 |
| 9 | Jayden Reed | WR | 72 | 197.6 |
| 10 | Jaylen Warren | RB | 73 | 170.6 |
| 11 | DK Metcalf | WR | 88 | 183.3 |
| 12 | Caleb Williams | QB | 89 | 299.3 |
| 13 | New England Patriots | DEF | 104 | 125.9 |
| 14 | Cameron Dicker | K | 105 | 156.7 |
| 15 | Jordan Addison | WR | 120 | 171.7 |
Projected is this league’s own season projection under its own scoring rules. No actual points yet — the season has not kicked off.
Every pick, and why
Trey McBrideR1 · #8 · TE · conf 0.90full record
Trey McBride offers the highest Value Over Replacement Player (VORP) available on the board.
Closest call: Jonathan Taylor, who offers a very close 69.7 VORP (272.3 projected points vs 202.6 replacement) and scored 362.3 points last season, but McBride's scarcity at TE makes him the priority.
Jonathan TaylorR2 · #9 · RB · conf 0.90full record
Drafting Jonathan Taylor to secure the highest available value over replacement at running back.
Closest call: Jaxon Smith-Njigba, who offers the highest raw projection among available flex players (284.6 points) but falls short of Taylor's value over replacement.
A.J. BrownR3 · #24 · WR · conf 0.90full record
A.J. Brown provides the highest value over replacement of any available player to fill a crucial WR slot.
Closest call: Lamar Jackson, who offers nearly identical value over replacement (22.58), but the need to start up to 3 WRs makes securing an elite WR a higher priority.
Lamar JacksonR4 · #25 · QB · conf 0.85full record
Drafting Lamar Jackson secures the highest projected player available and maximizes value over replacement.
Closest call: George Pickens was the other strong option with 245.7 proj_season_points and a 21.7 VOR, but the slightly higher VOR and steeper drop-off at QB made Jackson the priority.
Travis EtienneR5 · #40 · RB · conf 0.90full record
Travis Etienne provides a healthy, high-floor RB2 to pair with Jonathan Taylor.
Closest call: DeVonta Smith, who has a higher projection (229.2) but carries a Questionable injury status.
DeVonta SmithR6 · #41 · WR · conf 0.85full record
DeVonta Smith fills the WR2 slot as the highest-projected receiver remaining on the board.
Closest call: Garrett Wilson, who is fully healthy with a null injury_status and projected for 224.9 points, but Smith's higher projection and better ADP (27 vs 45) make him the preferred pick.
Emeka EgbukaR7 · #56 · WR · conf 0.80full record
Emeka Egbuka provides the highest projected points for the FLEX spot to maximize starting lineup output.
Closest call: Jameson Williams, who is healthy and had a strong 219.9 last_season_points, but his depth_chart_order of 2 and lower projection of 206.2 points made Egbuka the preferred choice.
Josh JacobsR8 · #57 · RB · conf 0.85full record
Josh Jacobs provides massive value at pick 57, offering a starting RB with an ADP of 32.
Closest call: Jameson Williams, who has an ADP of 35 and scored 219.9 points last season, but was passed over because he is listed as a backup (depth_chart_order: 2).
Jayden ReedR9 · #72 · WR · conf 0.85full record
Jayden Reed provides the best combination of high draft capital and strong projection to bolster our receiving depth.
Closest call: Jaylen Warren was heavily considered due to his ADP of 44, depth_chart_order of 1, and impressive 217.1 points last season, but his lower projection of 170.6 points made Reed the higher-upside play.
Jaylen WarrenR10 · #73 · RB · conf 0.90full record
Jaylen Warren provides massive value as a 6th-round ADP talent falling to the 10th round.
Closest call: Luther Burden, who has a strong projection of 209.0 points and an ADP of 56, but his 'Questionable' injury status and lower historical production (127.9 last season) make Warren the safer value.
DK MetcalfR11 · #88 · WR · conf 0.85full record
DK Metcalf provides the highest scoring upside among available skill players to strengthen the bench.
Closest call: Josh Downs, who has a higher ADP (58) and no injury designation, but his projected points (172.3) are significantly lower than Metcalf's.
Caleb WilliamsR12 · #89 · QB · conf 0.90full record
Drafting Caleb Williams secures the highest-value player available by ADP and provides elite quarterback insurance.
Closest call: Josh Downs, who is the next highest-valued player with an adp of 58, but Williams offers a much higher historical ceiling (325.2 vs 136.4 last_season_points).
New England PatriotsR13 · #104 · DEF · conf 0.99full record
pool narrowedSecuring the highest projected defense available to fill a required starting slot.
Closest call: Cameron Dicker or Evan McPherson, who are tied for the highest projected kicker points (156.72), but they will be addressed with the very next pick.
Cameron DickerR14 · #105 · K · conf 0.95full record
pool narrowedCameron Dicker provides the best combination of top-tier projection and proven past production to fill the mandatory kicker slot.
Closest call: Evan McPherson, who shares the same 156.72 projection, but his 136 last_season_points fall well short of Dicker's 170.
Jordan AddisonR15 · #120 · WR · conf 0.85full record
Jordan Addison provides excellent bench depth and value at the end of the draft.
Closest call: Hunter Henry, who would have provided a backup at TE where I only have one rostered, but Addison's superior projection and ADP value made him the better bench addition.
2025 rehearsal
From the backtest — a completed season, run to shake the engine out
This is not the real league. It is the rehearsal run against a season whose results were already known, and it happened before the briefing existed — so Gemini 3.1 Pro was drafting from raw projections with no view of replacement level.
Draft slot
8
Won at auction for $0, leaving $85 of waiver budget
Roster points
0
What the fifteen drafted players actually scored across the full season
Decisions logged
20
$0.919 total · mean stated confidence 0.88
Claims flagged
6
Decisions with a stated reason our checker could not tie to the data or the rulebook
On the auctionbid $0 · took slot 8full record
“Bidding $0 preserves the entire $100 budget for the season and the critical playoff free-agent auction, while Slot 4 offers the highest projected start.”
Every rehearsal pick, and why (15 from 2025)
Saquon BarkleyR1 · #8 · RB · conf 0.90full record
Saquon Barkley provides elite RB production and value at the 1.08 draft slot.
Closest call: CeeDee Lamb, who has the exact same projected season points (302.5) but a lower ADP (13).
CeeDee LambR2 · #9 · WR · conf 0.90full record
CeeDee Lamb provides the highest projected scoring output among available skill position players.
Closest call: Justin Jefferson was heavily considered due to his higher ADP (7), but Lamb's superior projection (302.5 vs 297.3) makes him the better mathematical choice.
Jonathan TaylorR3 · #24 · RB · conf 0.90full record
Jonathan Taylor offers immense value at pick 24, falling well past his ADP of 12.
Closest call: Josh Jacobs, who actually has a slightly higher projection (263.3) but a much lower ADP (25), making Taylor the better value pick.
Tyreek HillR4 · #25 · WR · conf 0.85full record
Drafting Tyreek Hill fills the required WR2 slot with an elite producer whose ADP aligns perfectly with this pick.
Closest call: Josh Jacobs, who has a slightly higher projection of 263.3 points, but would have been relegated to the FLEX spot since both RB slots are already filled by Saquon Barkley and Jonathan Taylor.
Tee HigginsR5 · #40 · WR · conf 0.85full record
Tee Higgins provides elite FLEX value, perfectly matching the current draft slot.
Closest call: James Conner (player_id 4137) was strongly considered due to his ADP of 39, but Higgins offers slightly higher projected season points (234.7 vs 223.5).
James ConnerR6 · #41 · RB · conf 0.85full record
James Conner provides excellent value and depth as the highest-ranked player available by ADP.
Closest call: Travis Kelce was considered to fill the starting TE slot, but his ADP of 48 and lower projection than Hockenson made Conner the better value.
Jerry JeudyR7 · #56 · WR · conf 0.85full record
Drafting Jerry Jeudy provides immense value as he falls significantly past his ADP.
Closest call: Tony Pollard, who is also a strong value with an ADP of 49 and a projection of 212 points.
Baker MayfieldR8 · #57 · QB · conf 0.80full record
Securing a starting quarterback before the position is depleted, as the next team on the clock also needs one.
Closest call: Mark Andrews, who fills the empty TE slot and has an ADP of 63, but securing a QB was prioritized due to Team G's roster needs.
⚑ Team G picks next at 58 and currently has 0 QBs, making a run on the position likely. — value(s) not in DATA: 58
Mark AndrewsR9 · #72 · TE · conf 0.90full record
Mark Andrews fills the starting TE slot with the highest projected points available at the position.
Closest call: David Njoku, who has a much higher ADP (30) but a lower season projection (159.5).
Isiah PachecoR10 · #73 · RB · conf 0.85full record
Isiah Pacheco adds premium depth to the running back room with the highest projection among available backs.
Closest call: David Njoku, who has a remarkable ADP of 30, but was passed over due to his lower projection (159.5) and the fact that Team H already rostered Mark Andrews.
Ricky PearsallR11 · #88 · WR · conf 0.85full record
Ricky Pearsall offers the highest projected season points among available flex options to strengthen the bench.
Closest call: David Njoku, who has a remarkable ADP of 30, but his projected points of 159.5 are significantly lower than Pearsall's 190.9, and the roster already has Mark Andrews at TE.
Jaylen WarrenR12 · #89 · RB · conf 0.90full record
Drafting Jaylen Warren provides immense value at pick 89, well past his ADP of 52.
Closest call: David Njoku, who has an ADP of 30, but Team H already has Mark Andrews at the single TE slot.
Harrison ButkerR13 · #104 · K · conf 0.90full record
pool narrowedDrafting Harrison Butker to fill the required Kicker slot with the highest projected points available.
Closest call: Tyler Loop (K), who has the exact same proj_season_points (147.69) as Butker.
Detroit LionsR14 · #105 · DEF · conf 0.99full record
pool narrowedSelecting the highest-projected defense to fill the mandatory starting slot.
Closest call: Pittsburgh Steelers (PIT), but their projected season points (136.93) are lower than Detroit's (138.01).
Jordan LoveR15 · #120 · QB · conf 0.85full record
Adding Jordan Love provides crucial depth and a high-upside option at quarterback to complete the roster.
Closest call: Cooper Kupp, who has a higher ADP (88) and strong projection (168.5), but securing a second QB is a higher priority for roster balance than adding a 6th WR.