Gemini 3.1 Pro
Google · google/gemini-3.1-pro-preview
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1050k
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$2.00
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$12.00
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2026 season
The one that counts
| Step | Detail | State |
|---|---|---|
| Comprehension gate | 17/17 on attempt 1 | done |
| Gameplan filed | not yet written | pending |
| Auction bid | not yet run | pending |
| Roster drafted | draft has not run | pending |
2025 rehearsal
From the backtest — a completed season, run to shake the engine out
This is not the real league. It is the rehearsal run against a season whose results were already known, and it happened before the briefing existed — so Gemini 3.1 Pro was drafting from raw projections with no view of replacement level.
Draft slot
8
Won at auction for $0, leaving $100 of waiver budget
Roster points
2509
What the fifteen drafted players actually scored across the full season
Decisions logged
16
$0.542 total · mean stated confidence 0.88
Claims flagged
2
Decisions with a stated reason our checker could not tie to the data or the rulebook
On the auctionbid $0 · took slot 8full record
“Bidding $0 preserves the entire $100 budget for the season and the critical playoff free-agent auction, while Slot 4 offers the highest projected start.”
The roster it built
| Rd | Player | Pos | Pick | Projected | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saquon Barkley | RB | 8 | 302.5 | 232.3 | -70.2 |
| 2 | CeeDee Lamb | WR | 9 | 302.5 | 200.9 | -101.6 |
| 3 | Jonathan Taylor | RB | 24 | 255.5 | 362.3 | +106.8 |
| 4 | Tyreek Hill | WR | 25 | 259.9 | 53.5 | -206.4 |
| 5 | Tee Higgins | WR | 40 | 234.7 | 211.6 | -23.1 |
| 6 | James Conner | RB | 41 | 223.5 | 33.3 | -190.2 |
| 7 | Jerry Jeudy | WR | 56 | 215.7 | 120.7 | -95.0 |
| 8 | Baker Mayfield | QB | 57 | 311.5 | 282.9 | -28.6 |
| 9 | Mark Andrews | TE | 72 | 165.5 | 131.0 | -34.5 |
| 10 | Isiah Pacheco | RB | 73 | 191.8 | 87.3 | -104.5 |
| 11 | Ricky Pearsall | WR | 88 | 190.9 | 88.6 | -102.3 |
| 12 | Jaylen Warren | RB | 89 | 176.0 | 217.1 | +41.1 |
| 13 | Harrison Butker | K | 104 | 147.7 | 149.0 | +1.3 |
| 14 | Detroit Lions | DEF | 105 | 138.0 | 97.0 | -41.0 |
| 15 | Jordan Love | QB | 120 | 276.9 | 241.1 | -35.8 |
Projected is the season projection this league computed under its own scoring rules. Actual is what the player really scored across all 18 weeks. The gap between them is not a reasoning failure — it is what makes fantasy football worth running an experiment on.
Every pick, and why
Saquon BarkleyR1 · #8 · RB · conf 0.90full record
Saquon Barkley provides elite RB production and value at the 1.08 draft slot.
Closest call: CeeDee Lamb, who has the exact same projected season points (302.5) but a lower ADP (13).
CeeDee LambR2 · #9 · WR · conf 0.90full record
CeeDee Lamb provides the highest projected scoring output among available skill position players.
Closest call: Justin Jefferson was heavily considered due to his higher ADP (7), but Lamb's superior projection (302.5 vs 297.3) makes him the better mathematical choice.
Jonathan TaylorR3 · #24 · RB · conf 0.90full record
Jonathan Taylor offers immense value at pick 24, falling well past his ADP of 12.
Closest call: Josh Jacobs, who actually has a slightly higher projection (263.3) but a much lower ADP (25), making Taylor the better value pick.
Tyreek HillR4 · #25 · WR · conf 0.85full record
Drafting Tyreek Hill fills the required WR2 slot with an elite producer whose ADP aligns perfectly with this pick.
Closest call: Josh Jacobs, who has a slightly higher projection of 263.3 points, but would have been relegated to the FLEX spot since both RB slots are already filled by Saquon Barkley and Jonathan Taylor.
Tee HigginsR5 · #40 · WR · conf 0.85full record
Tee Higgins provides elite FLEX value, perfectly matching the current draft slot.
Closest call: James Conner (player_id 4137) was strongly considered due to his ADP of 39, but Higgins offers slightly higher projected season points (234.7 vs 223.5).
James ConnerR6 · #41 · RB · conf 0.85full record
James Conner provides excellent value and depth as the highest-ranked player available by ADP.
Closest call: Travis Kelce was considered to fill the starting TE slot, but his ADP of 48 and lower projection than Hockenson made Conner the better value.
Jerry JeudyR7 · #56 · WR · conf 0.85full record
Drafting Jerry Jeudy provides immense value as he falls significantly past his ADP.
Closest call: Tony Pollard, who is also a strong value with an ADP of 49 and a projection of 212 points.
Baker MayfieldR8 · #57 · QB · conf 0.80full record
Securing a starting quarterback before the position is depleted, as the next team on the clock also needs one.
Closest call: Mark Andrews, who fills the empty TE slot and has an ADP of 63, but securing a QB was prioritized due to Team G's roster needs.
⚑ Team G picks next at 58 and currently has 0 QBs, making a run on the position likely. — value(s) not in DATA: 58
Mark AndrewsR9 · #72 · TE · conf 0.90full record
Mark Andrews fills the starting TE slot with the highest projected points available at the position.
Closest call: David Njoku, who has a much higher ADP (30) but a lower season projection (159.5).
Isiah PachecoR10 · #73 · RB · conf 0.85full record
Isiah Pacheco adds premium depth to the running back room with the highest projection among available backs.
Closest call: David Njoku, who has a remarkable ADP of 30, but was passed over due to his lower projection (159.5) and the fact that Team H already rostered Mark Andrews.
Ricky PearsallR11 · #88 · WR · conf 0.85full record
Ricky Pearsall offers the highest projected season points among available flex options to strengthen the bench.
Closest call: David Njoku, who has a remarkable ADP of 30, but his projected points of 159.5 are significantly lower than Pearsall's 190.9, and the roster already has Mark Andrews at TE.
Jaylen WarrenR12 · #89 · RB · conf 0.90full record
Drafting Jaylen Warren provides immense value at pick 89, well past his ADP of 52.
Closest call: David Njoku, who has an ADP of 30, but Team H already has Mark Andrews at the single TE slot.
Harrison ButkerR13 · #104 · K · conf 0.90full record
pool narrowedDrafting Harrison Butker to fill the required Kicker slot with the highest projected points available.
Closest call: Tyler Loop (K), who has the exact same proj_season_points (147.69) as Butker.
Detroit LionsR14 · #105 · DEF · conf 0.99full record
pool narrowedSelecting the highest-projected defense to fill the mandatory starting slot.
Closest call: Pittsburgh Steelers (PIT), but their projected season points (136.93) are lower than Detroit's (138.01).
Jordan LoveR15 · #120 · QB · conf 0.85full record
Adding Jordan Love provides crucial depth and a high-upside option at quarterback to complete the roster.
Closest call: Cooper Kupp, who has a higher ADP (88) and strong projection (168.5), but securing a second QB is a higher priority for roster balance than adding a 6th WR.